Coceral: estimates EU harvest at approx. 308 million t - + 21% in the UK to -23% in Spain In its most recent estimate, the European cereals and oilseed traders' association (COCERAL) rates the EU grain harvest at 308 million tonnes significantly lower than the EU Commission (EU-COM) with 313 million t. The differences arise from different harvested areas by approx. 1 million ha and yield assumptions by 1dt / ha. In the case of different collection methods, the first line is the change from year to year. The EU Commission estimates an increase over the weak previous year of 26 million tonnes . The same result comes Coceral . Both institutions are thus aiming in the same direction for a significantly better EU harvest in 2019 than in the previous year. However, there were very different results in the individual EU Member States. The UK surprised with a plus of 21%, followed by Germany with an increase of + 16.5% and France with an increase of 13.4%. France reaches 70 milliont a bumper harvest; the result would have been even better if the maize crop had taken place under more favorable conditions. Despite an increase, the German harvest remains only in the slightly average range. In all cases, the higher yield per area was the deciding factor. Above-average harvests can be observed in almost all eastern EU Member States. Especially in the southeast high corn crops have grown up. The deciding factor was the favorable weather development with sufficient rainfall in the main growth phase. On the negative side, Spain stands out with a drop of -23% . At irregular intervals, Spanish agriculture is plagued by drought. The area yields fell by 28% in 2019. Self-sufficiency has fallen below 60%. Feed must be imported for the rising pig husbandry. The main cereals reach again average harvest results. Wheat dominates with a share of approx.50% , winter barley and maize each reach approx. 20%. Rye and triticale bring it together to 6%. Grain production is well above domestic consumption. The export should rise again to almost 40 million t . An inventory of inventories is forecast. Nevertheless, a stable to slightly rising price trend can be observed, because the world market for deliveries is receptive. The weak euro exchange rate supports export activities.
