Preview on the EU milk production development in the last year the binding of rate of
In their newly established reports to the milk market observation, the EU Commission a first preliminary perspectives on the milk delivery dares 2014/15.
In the entire EU milk production to put something about 2%, after it has reached a significant increase as compared with about 3%. The growth came by again increasing numbers of cow and further performance improvements per cow.
The differences between the old EU-15- and the new EU-12 the rates of change in considerable height difference remain countries with about 1%. Different structural requirements and corresponding production techniques are the main reasons.
The differences in the individual countries are even more serious. While an almost constant increase in milk production has reached in Germany in all 3 years, there was a strong up and down in other EU Member States.
France 2012/13 with 2% milk production went down, increased production by 5.5% in the next year and is expected to grow by less than 2% in 2014/15.
A strong growth was recorded also in the United Kingdom with 6.5%. For 2014/15 is still above-average 3.2% shall be achieved.
Ireland and Denmark still really turn on with growth rates of 4% for 2014/15.
The most sustainable increases in constant production has Holland with an average 4-5% in 2 years.
The experts assume that the production increase by the consumption increases is captured. In the European internal market, the steady increase in consumption in the cheese section for a sufficient need and third-country sales provide the rest. It will be observed consumption increases in almost all importing countries.
It is also clear that the so far average prices on and about the 40 ct/kg can be kept brand not quite. A price crash is not expected in the face of sustained demand from China and Russia soon again. Average values of 7/8 years rather fit into the expectations.