DRV estimates German grain harvest to be 47.1 million tonnes or 4.1% above the 5-year average The German Raiffeisenverband (DRV) has an initial harvest estimate of 47.1 million tonnes in Germany. Measured against the 5-year average , the result should be above average by 4.1% . Compared to the miserable previous year's result , the increase amounts to approx. 24.1% The greater part of this is accounted for by the higher estimated yield per acre. At 24.84 million tonnes, wheat contributes the most to the overall result. Compared to the 5-year average, the wheat harvest is 3.9% above the multi-year average. In the case of slightly changed acreage, the yield per hectare increased to 78.3 dt / ha , which is the reason for the estimated result. Winter and spring barley , with 11.9 million tonnes, is the second largest contributor to the grain harvest in 2019. Summer barley is expected to be at approx. 2 million t fall behind.Both cereals together increase by 4.4% compared to the 5-year average. With an overall little changed area, the projected yield of 68.5 dt / ha is decisive. Rye and triticale increase in both cases and exceed the 5-year average by more than 5%. In this case, the significantly increased harvested areas play a significant role. The corn area is also to be increased by 9% according to the surveys of the Federal Statistical Office. Assuming a scarce average yield of approx. A maize grain harvest of 4.25 million t is estimated at 95 dt / ha. The high harvest forecasts for 2019 meet expected domestic consumption of around 45 million t. This would first fill up the reduced overlay quantity and make an additional amount available for export . If the forecasts so arrive, there would be a good average supply situation for the year 2019/20 .The grain estimate is relatively reliable with regard to cultivated areas with the help of the area survey by the Federal Statistical Office . In terms of yield levels, there are still significant risks associated with weather development, with a focus on the grain formation phase in May and June 2019. However, EU harvests and the results of leading international export nations still play a key role in the development of price levels . In addition, there may be trade-related uncertainties .
