2015 presents federal agriculture Ministry crop report.
The Federal Agriculture Ministry estimates the German cereal harvest in its latest crop report by end of Aug 2015 to 48.2 million tonnes. Compared to the other forecasts from the past the Ministry is at the highest point. The figures has the advantage to be able to include actual results of threshing and special crop investigation. However, there remains the question of representativeness. The part of the corn harvest remains a preliminary estimate.
The result of 2015/16 while falls below the record level of last year 2014 of 52 million tonnes, but remains above the multi-annual average of 46.8 million tons.
The wheat harvest is 26.4 million tonnes to approximately 2 million tonnes over the several years withtel classified. One has contributed to higher harvested area and a 4.7% increase Flächenertrag less than 3%.
The barley harvest is over by 10% due to the long-term mean, essentially a 12% higher yield per hectare, while the acreage by 1.7% has fallen behind.
The corn harvest of grains of is 26% below the multi-annual average expected. The area is only slightly less accepted, but the yields are lower estimated from today's perspective by 22%. The numbers to the corn crop are underpinned not by actual DRUSCH results and can therefore still be changed.
The harvest figures vary widely in the provinces. Lower Saxony with + 14.5%, Schleswig-Holstein + 13.7% and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania + 10.1% above average have performed well compared to the multi-annual average.
On the other hand Saxony-Anhalt Thuringia with - 1.4% and Baden-Württemberg with + 0.4 - 4.9% % considerably below the results of previous averages. The decisive reason is the weather weak Flächenerträgen.
Measured in previous crop expectations - characterized by missing rainfall - surprisingly well , the result of the harvest has failed. The warehouses are full, the front needs are satisfied, the trading business rests primarily. The typical price slump in the post-harvest phase has employed.
At the latest with the corn crop here and overseas movement in the market will come back. From the international market, pulses are expected through the remaining crops in the southern hemisphere. The El Niño weather, as well as the exchange rate changes provide still enough uncertainty and tension in the pricing in the coming months.
