19.
05.20
08:49

MARS: 2020 earnings forecasts are falling

MARS cuts yield forecasts for the EU harvest 2020 between 1 to 5% The agricultural meteorological institute of the EU Commission (MARS) has adjusted its monthly yield forecasts downwards based on the climate data evaluation. The winter seeds were hit hardest. Rapeseed yields were estimated to be 6.1 lower than in the previous month. Winter barley is said to produce 4.9% less yield than was assumed in April. Wheat yields are rated 2.7% lower. Only with the summer barley one promises a slight increase. The background to the weaker earnings forecast is the lack of precipitation in large parts of Central Europe. In addition, little to no rain is expected in the coming weeks. This affects the eastern parts of France, central and northern parts of Germany, central Poland and the south-east European countries. So far, it has not been possible to adequately determine the effects that the late night frosts will have on the yield.Comparatively favorable climatic conditions were found in the western parts of France, Great Britain and all of Spain . In these regions, the rainfall reached up to 60 mm of rain. These areas will help ensure that the EU average is not as unfavorable. The climatic conditions around the Black Sea are already becoming alarming. The persistent dryness leads to wilting and premature ripening with weak grain formation. In contrast, the countries on the North African Mediterranean coast have received predominantly high rainfall. However, the rain in the Maghreb countries came a little too late to have a positive impact on earnings. The North African countries are importing countries that are usually supplied by the EU. Sowing of the summer crops has taken place fairly quickly under the dry conditions, but the insufficient moisture leads to considerable problems with emergence and further growth.The growth on the grassland remains below average due to the scarce rainfall. Bottlenecks in basic feed can no longer be ruled out this year.

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