MARS: EU crop yields averaged over 5 years - large regional differences The Agricultural Meteorological Institute of the EU Commission (MARS) updated the previous yield forecasts based on the climate data in the period from 1 July to 23 Aug. 2019. According to this, an average yield over all cereals of 5.57 t / ha is estimated, which is only slightly above the 5-year average. According to the investigations, this year's wheat yields are expected to be 1.8% above the 5-year average, with durum wheat performing even better at + 4.1% . In the individual regions, however, the range stretches from -9.4% in Spain to +7.3% in Bulgaria and Romania, in each case compared to the 5-year average. For Germany, a -1.5% lower wheat yield is estimated. In the case of wheat, it was crucial whether or not sufficient precipitation or soil water was present during the period of grain filling .Winter barley weathered the weather better with +3.8% . Earlier maturity compared to wheat has been the main advantage. By contrast, the late summer barley had a much lower -1.4% . Bulgaria (+ 11%) and Romania (+ 12%) are the front runners this year. The decisive factor was sufficient rainfall and favorable temperatures. On the other hand, it has spiked Spain with -10% for the umpteenth time. The rainfall was just too close. The German result for barley yield is almost exactly the 5-year average. Rye and triticale yields are around the EU average of 5 years. With only two exceptions, the range of rye / triticale yields is comparatively low. Spain is the exception in negative terms with -16% and Great Britain with + 34% (!) Each in a multi-year comparison.The forecasts for the maize maize remain exciting, because the harvest is only due in a few months. On average, MARS estimates an increase in earnings of + 4.1%. At the same time, Romania should achieve a top result for years with + 43% . The Bulgarian corn yield should be +17% better than the 5-year average. Striking is also Hungary with an increase of +12%. By contrast, a corn yield of -7.8% in a five-year comparison is predicted for Germany . In France and Italy , each with -13% and Poland with -18% , the expectations look comparatively gloomy. This year's EU harvest is a reflection of this year's regional weather conditions with too little precipitation in the northern center of the EU and high rainfall in the southeast of the area .
