Germany: V price 2.08 €/kg (range 2.05 – 2.10 €/kg) - the weekly slaughter figures are slightly higher at 741,463 pigs ( previous week 728,278 ); the slaughter weights have decreased somewhat at 97.0 kg . The pre- registrations of 236,800 pigs (previous week 245,600 ) are too small for the increasing demand. Price quotation for cuts has been discontinued.At the ISN auction on Tue, Jan 31st. In 2023 , an average price of €2.16/kg (+9 cents/kg) was achieved in a range from €2.15 to €2.175/kg for 600 pigs. No overhang! The V price increased by €2.08/kg for the period from February 2nd, 2023 to February 8th , 2023 ; the range is from 2.05 to 2.10 €/kg. ASF : As of January 27th, 2023, 4,946 ASF infected wild boars in Brandenburg, Saxony and Mecklenburg have been officially confirmed. Market and price development in selected competitor countries: In Denmark , the prices in the 5th week of 2023 were reduced by a further 2 ct/kg at a comparable calculated €1.68/kg. In Belgium , the prices in the 05th week of 2023 have repeatedly remained unchanged at €1.89/kg. In the Netherlands , the prices in the 05th week of 2023 have risen to a comparable calculated €1.80/kg.In France/Brittany , prices have risen by the maximum permissible amount to €2.03/kg . The slaughter figures are as low as 365,663 pigs. The live supply has decreased by 5% in the last 4 weeks. In Italy , the listings in the 5th week of 2023 remained unchanged . Meat sales remain too weak. In Spain , the prices in the 5th week of 2023 rose again by 4 ct/kg at a comparable €2.25/ kg. The domestic supply of live animals only just covers demand. Imports are necessary. In the USA/IOWA , prices have continued to stabilize at the equivalent of € 1.44 /kg . Battle numbers are still above average. For the front month Feb.-2023, the futures prices on the stock exchange are €1.57/kg; prices above 2 €/kg are only traded for the summer months.Brazil: The producer prices have increased on average to 1.56 €/kg with REAL becoming stronger again. Impulses are expected at carnival in the middle of February. China: Prices fell further in the 2nd week of January to the equivalent of € 2.98/kg . The exchange rate has stabilized somewhat. Lunar New Year's week is over; As a rule, the sales business goes down significantly seasonally. March 2023 rates of the equivalent of €2.64/kg are traded on the Dalian Stock Exchange. Conclusion: The usual weakness in sales at the beginning of the year in the meat business seems to have been overcome. The persistently scarce living supply in connection with the first of the month creates the first impetus for price improvements. Firmer prices are expected to continue in the coming weeks and months; however, the upward leeway remains limited. In the individual EU countries, the prices drift apart depending on the regional supply and sales situation.
ZMP Live Expert Opinion
The persistently scarce living supply is finally showing price effects. With increasing demand on the first of the month, the offered slaughter pigs are not enough for the need. The cold store stocks are not sufficient for a possible compensation. A similar picture emerges in most EU countries. Price increases cannot be ruled out in the near future either.
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