The CFTC data for wheat and maize from the 07 July 2015

The net positions in the Chicago wheat have changed greatly in the last few weeks. From net short positions, total 34.370 net long positions were to the 07.07.2015 during the reference week. Accordingly, the performance ran upwards to its highest level for over a year.

On the recent USDA figures, the domestic drought has little influence. There surprised the Chinese who corrected their wheat initial stocks upwards significantly - to 12 million tonnes - more. This has although no direct influence on the world market, however, are the numbers in the statistics and this is the basis of the trading on the Exchange. While the wheat according to the latest USDA estimate the closing stock in the WJ 2015/16 to 8 million tonnes compared to the WJ 2014/15 to join, the coarse grain expects a decline by 7 million tonnes compared to the last financial year. It stems from this total an above average grain supply to use wheat rising stock to 30.8% (average 28.3%), is located in the coarse grain of the current stock to use at 17.3% (16.3% average).

Apart from the world market there are (still) little good reasons for significantly rising wheat prices. But beware: the corn crop is however not "in the bag" and many things on a very weak corn harvest suggests at least in Europe. Considerably more wheat in the feed will reach and thus reduce supplies, fueling the courses should that also come the United States at the main exporter.

The same development as in the wheat was the Chicago corn. From net short positions during the reference week, total 173.280 net long positions were to the 07.07.2015. Accordingly, the performance ran upwards to its highest level for over a year.

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