The wheat speculator in Chicago increased the net short positions to 4.526 contracts in the reporting week to the 31.03.2015 total 70.491 NET short positions. Thus, the clear majority of wheat speculators is heavily "Verkäuferlastig" which has led to significantly lower rates than currently in the last 2 years. So, the question remains: the speculators or the courses change direction?So far the wheat prices move for months sideways.
The EU wheat sales thrives on exports, while domestic sales are manageable. Thus the export or the derivatives market courses are priced. The basis for Rhenish B wheat is currently plus 1 euro / t, i.e. the Rhenish bread Mills to pay more than the current futures market futures 1 euro / t listed. Can the relevant producer price after deducting the costs of logistics (E.g. from the farm about 12 euro / t) even derive.
Unlike in the wheat corn speculators in Chicago move is again in the net-long area. An increase of 7.802 contracts showed again a total of 8.553 net long positions in the reporting week to the 31.03.2015. Corn prices move sideways for months.
The last USDA report surprised in terms of global corn stocks with an increase of 11% compared with the previous year. Cause was mainly the lower feed consumption in terms of cattle. Therefore, there are hardly any good reasons for price increases of driven grain feed in the next few weeks.