The CFTC figures for wheat and maize from the 05.01.2013

In the first week of the report to the new year move the net short positions when the wheat speculator in Chicago towards the 100,000 mark. An increase of 13.023 contracts resulted in a total 96.143 NET short positions. The courses are under pressure.

The latest USDA numbers from the Jan 2016 contain no course-enhancing signals. The wheat, the closing stock from the previous month to 2 million tonnes have increased what a drop in consumption is responsible first and foremost. The stock to use ration increases to record-breaking 32.4%, as high as since the beginning of the Millennium no longer. In the estimation of the coarse grain, it was reverse, end stocks fell by 2 million tons in particular because the production but also the consumption in the WJ 2015/16 was estimated lower. The stock to use ratio is 19.4% also far above the average of in recent years and only slightly lower than at the peak at the beginning of the Millennium. With a stock to use ratio of 24.1% for the entire grain the proportion of the final portfolio is consumption significantly higher than in the last low price phase 2008/09, it is therefore feared that prices continue to remain under pressure. Ultimately, the weak euro exchange rate helps the local grain prices, the mentioned low price during the euro was much stronger at 1.40 1,50. only one ray of hope for farmers is the wheat acreage estimated significantly lower compared to the previous year in the United States, but only on the estimate in the next marketing year 2016/17 is impacting.

Corn speculators in Chicago also increased the net short positions with 25.877 additional contracts on now 161.988 piece. The net short positions to reach a three-year high.

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