Coceral estimates the EU-27 grain harvest in 2021 at 283.5 million t (previous year 278.2 million t) The umbrella association of European grain and oilseed traders (Coceral) announced the EU-27 grain harvest in mid-March 2021 in its second forecast Estimated at 283.5 million t in 2021. Incl. GB it is around 307 million t . The close trade relations with the UK in the future, too, suggest that the exit country should continue to be included in the analysis of market and price developments. In the December 2020 estimate, Coceral had forecast slightly higher numbers. The reason for the currently lower results are the reduced wheat acreage, particularly in Germany, Italy and Hungary. Compared to the previous year 2020, there could be an increase of more than 3%. This would mean a more than good average harvest in 2021 . If consumption is expected to be lower due to lower numbers of animals, the hitherto increased imports could be reduced and, depending on the sales situation, higher exports could be achieved at world level.Overall, this could result in a more relaxed supply situation than in the previous year. There are different developments in the individual Member States. After the extremely weak harvests in France, Great Britain and Romania in the previous year, good average results are again expected in these countries for 2021. On the other hand, a repeat of last year's record harvest in Spain is not expected. At 43.6 million tons, the German harvest is expected to be around 1% higher than in the previous year. With a reduced consumption of 41.5 million t, an adequate supply situation can be expected in this country. The EU-27 + GB wheat harvest is estimated at 151.6 million t . In the previous year it was only 135.7 million t . The major increases are caused by larger harvests in France and Great Britain. The barley harvest estimates Coceral to 61.5 milliont compared to the previous year with 63.9 million t. The decrease is mainly due to the lower harvest in Spain . The EU corn harvest is expected to increase by 1 million t to 63.3 million t . The Coceral estimate at an early point in the year is largely based on the acreage, while the area yields are derived from trend developments. However, the yield assumptions can still be changed decisively by the weather.
