COCERAL cuts EU grain harvest to 267 million tonnes. The European umbrella organization of grain and oilseed traders (COCERAL) has made a further cut in its 4th estimate of the EU grain harvest compared to the June edition. The result is now around 267 million t compared to the last estimate of 273 million t. A declining cultivated area is compensated for by slightly better yields. Compared to the previous year, there is no significant change in the final result of all EU states. However, developments in the individual Member States vary significantly. Spain experienced the biggest drop in production, with a decline of -41% compared to an already weak previous year. Poland and Germany as well as the sum of many small production areas are also recording declines. In contrast, increases in Hungary with +63% and Romania with 18% as well as Italy with +16% can be attributed to the fact that previous years had suffered extremely from drought.This year's harvests in these regions only just reach the multi-year average values. The COCERAL estimate is at the lower end of the estimation results compared to other institutions. The exception is the forecast by the European farmers' and cooperative associations (COP/COGECA) with a result from mid-July of 256 million t.The results of the EU harvest estimates for 2023/24 so far
As development progresses, an EU harvest of around 270 million is emerging in 2023 , taking into account the estimation error range.t out. This means that the most recent harvests are well below the long-term average of 290 million tonnes. In addition to declining cultivated areas, the fall in yield per hectare is particularly responsible.
