Black Sea region with increasing global significance for the global grain supply In the last 4 years, the two main Black Sea littoral States Ukraine and Russia have experienced an unusually strong boost in grain production and export. In the year 2012/13, both countries produced together approximately 130 million tonnes of grain. Of Russia reached around 80 million tonnes and the Ukraine came up with good 50 million t. In the current financial year, both countries together will exceed 180 million tonnes . Russia appreciates his harvest between 114 to 118 million tonnes and the Ukraine wants to come after recent results to 64 million tonnes . Increase in cereal exports already a long time. 30 million tonnes were carried out in the nadir of 2010/11 just, for the current year expected 75 to 80 million tonnes. The reasons for this world's unusually strong upturn are manifold. After years of difficulties in the Postcommunist era the consolidated operating and business structureshave become. There is sufficient capital available to raise resources in sufficient quantity. Machines with partial Western origin are powerful and can be used reliably. The targeted use of fertilisers and plant protection products has improved. Storage losses are significantly reduced and the logistics of marketing of has been organized more efficiently. The actually ordered and harvested areas have become greater. The average Flächenerträgehave decisively improved. For the last 4 years is still a decisive factor in addition to take into account. While in previous years and decades Every 3 to 5 years with cultivation and crop losses as a result of Dewinterizing damage at temperatures up to minus 40 degrees Celsius and dry damage April has the weather-related damage to the large extent of earlier times in the income decisive months until June in the last 4 years not. 2010/11 for Russia with a total harvest at 60 million tons, i.e. about half of today's crop was particularly painful. To ensure supply in the country, then all grain exports have been deleted. State pension provision is operated since that time. Today, Russia is the world's largest wheat exporter, ahead of the United States and the EU. The seed for the next crop year 2017 should be done according to Russian data without any major problems. The acreage of winter wheat is down slightly larger. The State stocks have sufficiently developed to survive the winter. The conditions for the appointment of autumn were not quite as optimal in the Ukraine, but unlike the Ukraine committed to Russia climatically due to corn cultivation, which only takes place in the spring of 2017. The prerequisites for a repeated high grain harvest in 2017 in the two Black Sea States are so favorable. Increasingly, however, fears are expressed that continental climate conditions are good for a surprise. Cold winters and hot dry summers the rule. According to the laws of probability, such a constellation of weather could again apply. The crop losses would be then considerable. However, there are dissenting votes, which lead to climate change in the field. The higher temperatures move northwards and reduce the Dewinterizing damage and the distribution of precipitation change in favour of the Black Sea countries. To harvest 2017 are still considerable risks to.
