18.
06.16
10:37

DRV estimate sees German grain crop still above average

4. DRV estimate to the German market in cereals - harvest - 1.6% below last yearthe German Raiffeisen Federation (DRV) assumes in its 4 forecast a German grain harvest totalling 48 million tons or - 1.6%. 48.8 million tons were retracted in the previous year. The forecast result is due to a reduced acreage of 1.2 % and yield assumptions of 0.4% concluded. The average Flächenertrag of 74.8 dt / ha corresponds to the multi-annual development trend. The previous year despite a dry phase were generated above-average hectare. The total wheat crop is growing on a to - 1.7% smaller area up. Hectare stayed back with 79.8 dt / ha to-1.7% behind the previous year. The wheat crop is estimated at 25.77 million tons or - 2.9% to the previous year. Wheat holds a 53% share of the German grain harvest. In the 2nd largest cereal crop barley , an expansion of acreage by 1% will be determined according to the investigations of the Federal Statistical Office. The barley returns should fall but by - 3.4% behind the previous year. The total harvest of winter - and summer barley is classified to 11.35 million or - 2.4% lower. The rye area - 5,3% lowered nearly unchanged revenue estimates fully on a smaller crop of 3.29 million tons penetrate. Also the cultivation of Triticale shall be reduced by 3%. The result of the harvest should go back to - 3.3%. The grains corn area will be increased according to DRV estimate by 1%. The corn yields by 10.8% to rise on average 98.3 dt / ha compared to catastrophic. It is calculated a German maize harvest of 4.52 million tonnes and + 13.9% higher compared to the previous year. The summer grain crops has little importance to the overall result with less than 8% of land. A 4.2% higher yield expectation when the OAT is striking. The earlier assessment assumes that the grain stocks on average without larger problems remain. Regional or local damage should be offset by above-average developments in other regions.  The German Raiffeisenverband will his predictions adapt in the following months continuously to the newer information.

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