DRV estimates slightly smaller German grain harvest

DRV German grain harvest estimates a 2016 only slightly smaller

The German Raiffeisen Federation (DRV) is in its 1st monthly forecast by a German grain harvest totalling 48.3 million tonnes and - 1.1% respectively. In the previous year, 48.86 million tonnes have been retracted.

The forecast result comes through a reduced acreage of-0.1% and yield assumptions by - 1.2% . The average Flächenertrag of 74.2 dt / ha corresponds to the multi-annual development course. The previous year despite a dry phase were generated above-average hectare.

The total wheat harvest remains despite a slightly elevated area with 26.0 million t or - 1.7% behind the previous year. Wheat yields should be less than 1.4 dt / ha compared with 80.9 dt / ha.

At the 2nd largest cereal crop barley , an expansion of acreage to 2.6% will be applied. Barley yields should however remain to - 4.4% behind the previous year.  The total harvest of winter - and summer barley is ranked lower on 11.6 million or - 1.9%.

The to -5.9% hubbed rye acreage fully penetrate a lower harvest of 3.28 million tonnes unchanged income. Also the cultivation of Triticale shall be reduced by 2.4%. The result of the harvest should go back to 4.7%.

The grains corn area will be increased according to DRV estimate to 1,3%. Catastrophic compared the corn yields by 8.7% to rise on average 96.6 dt / ha. It is calculated a German corn crop of 4.46 million tonnes or + 12.2% higher compared to the previous year.

The summer grain crops has little importance to the overall result with less than 8%. A 4.1% higher expectation of harvest when OAT is striking.

The earlier assessment assumes that the cereal stocks have weathered the winter without major damage . The plants are well developed. The spring let but still something to wait for.

The German Raiffeisen Federation is in the following months of his predictions continuously adapt to the recent developments.

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