DRV increases harvest estimate for 2021 to average level: 44.2 million t In its 4th harvest estimate, the German Raiffeisen Association (DRV) increased German grain production to 44.2 million t compared to the previous month. The result is around 2% above the previous year. A slight decline in cultivation area of -0.6% is more than offset by the higher yield expectation of +2.6%. An average of 73.3 dt / ha is estimated. With a share of around 50%, wheat has the greatest influence on the overall result. The acreage was increased by + 2.1% compared to the previous year. An increase of +1.7% is predicted for the area yield. Overall, the wheat harvest is expected to increase to 22.98 million t (+ 3.8%). The second largest type of cereal is barley with a share of 24%. The acreage was reduced by -7.2%; on the other hand, the area yield should be 6.2% higher than in the critical previous year. Overall, generation should be -1.4% less.In the case of spring barley, the fall in production will be -17.5% due to the area under cultivation. Lower acreage (-1.3%) and lower yield expectations (-3.8%) should contribute to the fact that the corn harvest should be -5.1% lower. In contrast, oat cultivation is expected to increase by almost + 16%. With largely the same yield, the oat harvest also rises by + 16%. Both grain types, rye and triticale, are expected to deliver 5.4% and 4.9% higher harvests, respectively, mainly due to their yield. The DRV estimate is based on the area surveys of the Stat. Federal Office of May 19, 2021. The area yields have been estimated by the regional members of the DRV. The spring weather delayed growth, but the most recent rainfalls and the increased temperatures have been favorable for further development, albeit too scarce again in the north and east of the country.The beginning of the harvest is of particular importance this year, as there is hardly any aging product left. Due to the vegetation residue, the DRV estimates that the grain harvest will start in the first days of July with the winter barley. That would be around a week later than the average for the years. In the event of further harvest delays, local supply problems cannot be ruled out.
