COCERAL - EU crop estimate 2015/16: much wheat - little corn
The European umbrella organization of the grain and oilseed trader (COCERAL) has estimated the EU finally harvest to approximately 309 million tonnes. Last year, the EU crop to 325 million tonnes was prized. This year's decline is calculated a smaller acreage, as well as a decline in the average income of 56.7 on 54.6 dt / ha.
The result for wheat including durum was estimated at around 158 million tonnes. The exceptionally good year 156 million were reached. Despite some adverse weather development a higher yield was obtained by 2015 at almost same acreage 62 dt / ha over the previous year.
The barley harvest 2015 for smaller acreage, but significantly higher income achieved a volume of 61.1 million tonnes just below 50 dt / ha.
However, the maize crop with a setback of 25% was significantly worse. The ultimately harvested areas made only an average yield of 64.2 dt / ha compared to the previous year at 77.9 dt / ha. The harvest volume decreased from 77.9 million tonnes to 58.5 million tonnes in the year 2015 corn.
In other grains such as rye, Triticale, sorghum and oats remain the harvest results behind last year's levels.
France has delivered the decisive contribution to the large EU crop with its 3 million tonnes more wheat harvest of 40 million tonnes. Nevertheless, the French total by 1 million tons to 70.6 million tonnes was worse, because the corn harvest by around 30% due to the drought loss of earnings suffered.
The German cereal harvest is left with 48.8 million tons to about 4 million t behind the previous year. The 25% smaller corn crop contributed to this result, while the wheat harvest only to 5% below the previous year's figures remained.
Poland reached a significantly weaker result than in the previous years with over 31 million tons with just under 28 million tonnes. This is true also for Romania, which would have to accept from 21 to 18.8 million tons with emphasis on the corn crop losses.
Higher harvests reached Great Britain, Denmark, Sweden and the Baltic States, which were spared by the drought. All other EU Member States had to be satisfied with lower results for the previous year.
The 2015/16 of the EU cereals market is dominated by two faces. An unusually weak supply situation in the maize sector faces a large range in the wheat sector. A balance between both sectors will be possible only in parts, because parent and grant sites are overcome only with high transport costs in the country. Given the low rates of overseas cargo imports and exports sea occur.
