Mars estimates 3.4% higher grain yields due to climate change - rapeseed + 4.3% The Agrometeorological Institute of the EU Commission (MARS) has evaluated the European climate data in the period from February 1st to March 8th, 2021. The results vary from region to region. For the western part of the EU with the countries France Benelux, Germany as well as parts of Poland and south-east Europe , above-average high temperatures were found on average. An intermittent cold spell changes this very little. In Eastern Europe as far as Russia , low temperatures and high rainfall shaped the weather. In the Mediterranean countries there was comparatively little rainfall. Parts of central Italy with above-average rainfall are excluded. Portugal and western parts of Great Britain and Ireland have also benefited from high rainfall.In contrast, it was too dry in the Scandinavian and Baltic countries . The agrometeorological institute of the EU Commission (MARS) estimates on the basis of the previous climate data +3.4% higher yields on average for winter cereals. The highest growth is expected for winter barley with + 9.4%, for winter wheat + 3.4% is predicted. The rye should drop by -6.5% compared to the good previous year. Triticale is not quite as bad with -2.2%. Compared to the 5-year average , slight improvements are expected for winter cereals in 2021. The rapeseed yields should be +4.3% compared to the previous year or +6.8% compared to the 5-year average . However, the new requirements for the use of plant protection have not yet been taken into account. The MARS estimate provides an initial orientation .Experience has shown that the decisive factor for the end result are the weather developments in the grain formation phase in early summer.
