FAO/OECD: in the next 10 years is not so high agricultural prices possible The food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) forecast for the next 10 years by 2025 less high prices compared to the previous period. A less sharply rising world population and moderate increases in income on the demand side, as well as a rising productivity in food production are the main arguments for the estimation of average agricultural prices, which can be located approximately at the level of the year 2016. The income increases are still big enough to consume more and higher-quality food . While in developed countries the food consumption stagnates or is slightly declining trends, be higher processed agricultural products demand in the emerging markets with growing purchasing power. Even in the developing countries is to be expected with a significant consumption of staple foods. the number of hungry and malnourished people to go back on. Surface that requires limited increasing agricultural land productivity improvement. More than 80% of the growth of food production should be achieved through progress of the net. Only in South America and parts of Africa significant areas for agricultural use are mobilizable. Global trade in foodstuffs between surplus and grant regions will grow. It often only a few exporting countries are on the export side, deny more than 70% of deliveries. On the demand side, many smaller import countries are available in addition to China and Japan. The quest for self-sufficiency while exists in all countries, but not widely enforced. For the year 2025, the FAO estimates wheat prices in the United States, the 9% should exceed the level by 2016. European rape 8.1% to prices on the basis of Hamburg. But European prices for feed grain shall with the exception of maize due to the growing demand from the processing sector by 21% over the current price level in 2016 rise. Still higher price increases are expected in the lining of the protein include soybean meal with increases by 27%. The decisive reason is a growing commercialization in the animal breeding sector, which uses powerful feed rations. The highest increases in agricultural prices is attributed to the products of the dairy sector . Whole milk powder should be 27% more expensive in the years 2025 than they are today. In the case of skimmed-milk powder, price increases are expected by 40%. Rising per capita consumption in developing countries is estimated at dairy products at + 21%, with which a special emphasis on fresh dairy aligns. So high growth rates also fall out, they reach only the average level of previous years. The peak values reached in the past should be possible only under critical conditions of single year. A sufficient stock cushion reduces short-term shortage phenomena. 10-year forecasts contain a variety of uncertainties and uncertainties in climatic, economic, and political terms. Therefore the forecasts as first guidance are to look at, it continuously to develop that is.
