DRV with 1st estimate of the German grain and rapeseed harvest in 2025
The German Raiffeisen Association (DRV) estimates that the German grain harvest in 2025 will be 41.9 million tons higher than the previous year's figure of around 39 million tons. This is due to the increase in acreage of +3.4% and higher yield expectations of +3.8%. On average, just under 71 dt/ha (previous year 68.3 dt/ha) are expected to be threshed.
The increases are comparatively high against the backdrop of the previous year's weak results. In a 5-year comparison, however, the estimated 2025 harvest will not quite reach the medium-term average.
Wheat is grown on 48% of the total grain area. A harvest of 21.36 million tons is expected in 2025 due to a 9.9% increase in acreage and 5% higher yields per hectare. This would be +15.4% compared to the weak previous year. In a year-on-year comparison, however, it is only a moderate +0.7%.
The cultivation of barley fell by -4.8 compared to the previous year. However, this year's yields are expected to be +5.2 % higher. Overall, this results in an almost unchanged harvest volume compared to the previous year. In a 5-year comparison, however, the result is -10.6 % lower.
The area under maize is expected to be slightly smaller (-0.6 %). At -5.1, yield forecasts are well below the previous year's level. Nevertheless, the estimated result is +7.5 % higher than the multi-year average.
The rye harvest is expected to be +9.9 % higher than the previous year due to acreage and yield, but at -10.6 % it will remain well below the 5-year average.
The triticale harvest is estimated to be 5.4 % higher due to both larger areas and higher yield expectations. In a multi-year comparison, however, the result is considerably lower at -17 %.
Less acreage and low yields are expected to lead to a -3.5 % smaller oat harvest.
The DRV estimates the German rapeseed harvest at around 4 million compared to 4.2 million tons in the previous year. The main reason for this is a -4.8 % smaller area under cultivation with a slightly lower yield per hectare.
The estimate is based on the winter seed areas determined by the Federal Statistical Office and DRV calculations for summer cereal cultivation. The yield forecasts are based on statistical evaluations as well as supplementary estimates based on the sowing status.
