05.
02.25
Prices unchanged at 1.72 €/kg

Pig News, 05.02.2025

Bullish
  • Pre-registrations are decreasing
Bearish
  • Slaughter figures remain high
  • Above-average carcass weights are slowly decreasing

Germany:V-price1.72 €/kg (range 1.72 - 1.72 €/kg)

The weekly slaughter figures are higher at 680,517 pigs (previous week 664,593), the slaughter weights remain above average at 99.8 kg .

The pre-registrations for the current week amount to 354,400 (previous week 373,500)

The ISN auction on Tue, 04.02.2025 has been canceled.

The V-price for the period from 06.02.2025 to 12.02.2025 has been set at 1.72 €/kg in a range of 1.72 - 1.72 €/kg.

Slaughter pig market in Germany

ASF: In Hesse and Rhineland-Palatinate, a total of 1,007 ASF-infected wild boars (+70 compared to the previous week) have been found so far. The situation has calmed down in Rhineland-Palatinate.

FMD: No further findings to date, but cause of entry remains unclear for the time being.

Market and price developments in selected competitor countries:

In Denmark , the comparably calculated prices will remain unchanged at € 1.47/kg in CW 06, 2025.

In Belgium, the comparably calculated prices of €1.70/kg will also remain unchanged in CW 06, 2025.

In the Netherlands , prices will remain unchanged in CW 06, 2025 with comparable prices of €1.67/kg.

In France/Brittany , the comparable prices will remain unchanged at €1.87/kg . At 358,500, the number of cattle slaughtered is little changed; slaughter weights are slightly lighter at 97.43 kg.

In Italy, prices in week 6, 2025 have been reduced again by -2 ct/kg to €1.65/kg. Supply is sufficiently high to meet demand.

In Spain, the price remained unchanged at €2.03/kg in CW 06, 2025. Supply and demand are largely in balance.

In the USA/IOWA , producer prices are subject to the uncertainties caused by the customs policy. Slaughter numbers have risen again. Cut prices have firmed up again after a brief period of weakness. Forward prices for the front month of Feb-25 have stabilized at € 1.73/kg. However, the summer months 2025 are quoted between € 1.95 and € 1.98/kg.

Brazil: Producer prices have increased significantly to €1.76/kg. Increases in domestic prices and a stronger currency have contributed to this. Expectations for 2025 remain high.

China: Prices have recently remained at € 2.90/kg. No prices are quoted during the New Year holiday week that is coming to an end. Prices are usually expected to fall rapidly after the festive period. The month of March-2025 is quoted at €2.30/kg on the Dalian exchange, and prices are not expected to rise again until the summer months. Pork production is expected to continue at a reduced level.

Conclusion: The supply bottleneck at the turn of the year and the subdued demand sentiment in the first few weeks of the year are only slowly subsiding. However, repeated unchanged prices signal that price pressure is easing.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

The "normalization" of the pork market in the first month of the New Year is progressing only slowly. Nevertheless, the first signs of easing can be seen.

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