12.
03.25
Price range opens upwards from 1.72 to 1.77 €/kg

Pig News, 12.03.2025

Bullish
  • Declining advance registrations
  • Falling slaughter weights
  • Regional supply deficits
Bearish
  • Slaughter figures still comparatively high

Germany:V-price1.72 €/kg (range 1.72 - 1.77 €/kg)

The weekly slaughter figures are higher at 735,324 pigs (previous week 715,805), the slaughter weights remain above average at 99.1 kg .

The pre-registrations for the current week amount to 271,300 (previous week 281,900 )

The ISN auction on Tue, 11.03.2025 delivered a result of 1.75 €/kg.

The V-price for the period from 13.03.2025 to 19.03.2025 has been set at 1.72 €/kg in a range of 1.72 - 1.77 €/kg.

Slaughter pig market in Germany

ASF: A total of 1,398 ASF-infected wild boars (+72 compared to the previous week) have been found in Hesse and Rhineland-Palatinate. New case near the border with Baden Württemberg.

Market and price developments in selected competitor countries:

In Denmark , prices calculated on a comparable basis will remain unchanged at €1.50/kg in CW 11, 2025.

In Belgium, the comparably calculated prices of €1.74/kg will be raised by +2 ct/kg in CW 11, 2025.

In the Netherlands , prices will be increased by +3 ct/kg in week 11, 2025 with comparable prices of €1.78/kg.

In France/Brittany , the comparable prices will remain unchanged at €1.86/kg . Slaughter numbers are moving only slightly; slaughter weights are becoming somewhat lighter.

In Italy, prices in week 11, 2025 have been reduced again by -2 ct/kg to €1.51/kg. Domestic and foreign supply is sufficiently high to meet demand.

In Spain, the price will be increased again by +3 ct/kg to €2.17/kg in week 11, 2025. The scarce domestic supply must be supplemented by imports to cover demand.

In the USA/IOWA , producer prices fell slightly on Mon, 10.03. to 1.84 €/kg. Cut prices have also fallen. Slaughter numbers remain at the level reached. Forward prices for the new front month Apr.-25 have fallen to €1.70/kg due to the weak dollar exchange rate. Prices are not expected to rise again until the summer months.

Brazil: After a brief interim high, producer prices have fallen further to €1.77/kg. Weak domestic demand played a key role in this. However, expectations for 2025 remain positive.

China: At € 2.73/kg, prices are on the usual seasonal downward trend. The month of March 2025 is quoted at € 2.35/kg on the Dalian exchange; moderate price increases are only expected again in the summer months. Pork production in 2025 will remain below the previous year.

Conclusion: The live supply in Germany is decreasing noticeably. Goods are becoming scarcer in individual regions. In neighboring countries, with the exception of Italy, further price increases have been implemented.

The chances of further price increases in Germany can no longer be completely dismissed.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

Hopes for a more relaxed market trend appear to be coming true. The future supply trend will be tighter than in the past few months due to a seasonal increase in demand. The already positive price trends in the rest of the EU domestic market support this assessment.

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