14.
05.25
V-price at 2.00 €/kg, but margin increase to 2.10 €/kg

Pig News, 14.05.2025

Bullish
  • low live supply
  • Declining advance registrations
  • Full slaughter weeks
  • Increased demand for barbecues
Bearish
  • Subdued consumer demand

Germany:V-price2.00 €/kg (range 2.00 - 2.10 €/kg)

The weekly slaughter figures were again average at around 710,000 pigs (previous week 623,132): slaughter weights fell slightly to 98.5 kg .

Pre-registrations for the current week amount to 260,200 (previous week(252,400)

The ISN auction on Tue, 13.05.2025 delivered a result of 2.10 €/kg in a range of 2.10 - 2.105 €/kg.

The V-price has been set at 2.00 €/kg in a range of 2.00 - 2.10 €/kg for the period from 15.05.2025 to 22.05.2025.

Slaughter pig market in Germany

ASF: In Hesse and Rhineland-Palatinate, a total of 2,071 ASF-infected wild boars (+ 46 compared to the previous week) have been found so far. In some regions, the restricted areas are now being reduced.

Market and price developments in selected competitor countries:

In Denmark , the comparably calculated prices of €1.95/kg in CW 2025 have increased further by +2 ct/kg.

In Belgium, the prices calculated on a comparable basis will remain unchanged at €1.96/kg in CW 2025.

In the Netherlands , comparable prices will remain constant at €2.00/kg in week 2025.

In France/Brittany , comparable prices will remain unchanged at €1.98/kg .

In Italy, prices were increased by a further +1 ct to €1.69/kg LG in week 120, 2025. Domestic and foreign supply remains tight.

In Spain, the price will remain unchanged at €2.32/kg in calendar week 2025. The price level has reached a temporary upper limit. This applies in particular to export demand.

In the USA/IOWA , producer prices rose to the equivalent of € 1.87/kg on 13.05. Slaughter numbers have fallen back. Cut prices are falling, except for barbecues. The forward prices for the new front month of June 25 are also at € 1.86/kg. Hardly any price increases are expected in the summer months. The latest US forecast predicts falling prices for the 4th quarter of 2025 due to declining exports as a result of the tariff policy.

Brazil: Producer prices have stabilized further at €1.75/kg. With domestic prices tending to be weak, the rising exchange rate is ensuring price stability. The export business is running at record levels. The background to this is the US tariff policy

China: At € 2.45/kg, prices have halted the usual seasonal downward trend for the time being. The month of June 2025 is quoted at € 2.26/kg on the Dalian exchange; similar prices are traded in the summer months. The limited supply of pork in 2025 corresponds to current demand. Imports are at a reduced level.

Conclusion: There is not yet enough for an increase in the V-price, but the upward widening of the range points in this direction. Support comes from the low live supply There are no public holidays in the coming weeks for the time being. Increasing demand for barbecues could boost the price trend.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

Despite maintaining the base price, the tendency for prices to rise is indicated by the increase in the upper price range. This is supported by the low live supply, with slaughter weeks full again and a trend towards an improvement in demand for barbecue.

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