Germany:V-price1.72 €/kg (range 1.72 - 1.72 €/kg)
At 655,700 pigs (previous week 443,527), the weekly slaughter figures are once again higher, and slaughter weights are well above average at 100.2 kg .
The pre-registrations for the current week amount to 373,300 (previous week 366,300)
The ISN auction on Tue, 14.01.2025 has been canceled.
The V-price for the period from 16.01.2025 to 22.01.2025 has been set at 1.72 €/kg in a range of 1.72 - 1.72 €/kg.
Slaughter pig market in Germany
ASF: A total of 787 ASF-infected wild boars (+37 compared to the previous week) have been found in Hesse and Rhineland-Palatinate. The situation in Rhineland-Palatinate has calmed down.
FMD: In Brandenburg, no further cases have been reported to date from the infected water buffalo herd.
Market and price developments in selected competitor countries:
Denmark will keep the comparably calculated prices unchanged at €1.50/kg in CW 04, 2025.
In Belgium, the comparably calculated prices of €1.75/kg will be reduced by -7 ct/kg in CW 04, 2025.
In the Netherlands , prices will be reduced again by -3 ct/kg in week 4, 2025, with comparable prices of €1.74/kg.
In France/Brittany , the comparable prices will remain unchanged at €1.87/kg . Slaughter numbers have fallen back to average levels at 361,000; slaughter weights are at 98.2 kg.
In Italy, prices in week 4 of 2025 fell again by -3 ct/kg to €1.695/kg. A high domestic supply supplemented by imports is putting pressure on the price development with restrained demand.
In Spain, the price was reduced by -2 ct/kg to €2.04/kg in week 4, 2025. Domestic live supply remains sufficiently high. The export business remains difficult.
In the USA/IOWA , producer prices stabilized at € 1.70/kg at the beginning of the year. Slaughter figures are back to average levels after the holidays. Cold store stocks are unchanged. Cut prices are developing unevenly. Forward prices for the new front month Feb-25 have risen again to €1.74/kg.
Brazil: Producer prices have stabilized at 1.65 €/kg (+1 ct/kg). The fall in domestic prices has been offset by the stronger currency. The previous weeks-long high price phase of € 1.80/kg will no longer be reached. Production is expected to increase by +2% and exports by +7.4% in 2025.
China: Prices have risen again to €2.90/kg. Prices are expected to remain stable until the Chinese New Year on 29 Jan 25. After the Chinese New Year, demand usually drops considerably. The month of March-2025 is quoted at €2.30/kg on the Dalian exchange, with prices not expected to rise again until the summer months. Although the sow herd has decreased by -3.2%, it is still above the target value.
Conclusion: A supply backlog after the holidays, a post-Christmas sales slump and the shock news of the FMD outbreak are putting pressure on prices. It is possible that the market situation will lead to further cutbacks in the coming weeks. However, the extent is not yet clear and depends largely on how the outbreak is handled.
ZMP Live Expert Opinion
The usual market weakness in the first few weeks of the new year is exacerbated by the outbreak of foot and mouth disease, the further development and after-effects of which are still difficult to predict.
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