19.
02.25
Prices still unchanged at € 1.72/kg

Pig News, 19.02.2025

Bullish
  • Slowly decreasing carcass weights
  • Reduced slaughter numbers
  • Low pre-registrations
Bearish
  • High volume of meat with overhang tendencies
  • Subdued demand

Germany:V-price1.72 €/kg (range 1.72 - 1.72 €/kg)

The weekly slaughter figures are slightly higher at 627,505 pigs (previous week 682,383 ), while slaughter weights remain above average at 99.5 kg .

The pre-registrations for the current week amount to 321,800 (previous week 341,000)

The ISN auction on Tue, 18.02.2025 has been canceled.

The V-price for the period from 20.02.2025 to 26.02.2025 has been set at 1.72 €/kg in a range of 1.72 - 1.72 €/kg.

Slaughter pig market in Germany

ASF: In Hesse and Rhineland-Palatinate, a total of 1,159 ASF-infected wild boars (+104 compared to the previous week) have been found so far. The situation in Rhineland-Palatinate remains unchanged.

FMD: No further findings to date, but the cause of entry remains unclear for the time being.

Market and price developments in selected competitor countries:

In Denmark , the comparably calculated prices will remain unchanged at € 1.47/kg in CW 08, 2025.

In Belgium, the comparably calculated prices of €1.70/kg will also remain unchanged in week 8, 2025.

In the Netherlands , prices will remain unchanged in week 8, 2025 with comparable prices of €1.68/kg.

In France/Brittany , the comparable prices will remain unchanged at €1.86/kg . Slaughter numbers move only slightly; slaughter weights are slightly lighter.

In Italy, prices in week 8, 2025 have been reduced again by -4 ct/kg to €1.58/kg. Supply is sufficiently high to meet demand.

In Spain, the price was increased again by +3 ct/kg to €2.07/kg in week 8, 2025. The live supply is comparatively tight for demand.

In the USA/IOWA , producer prices rose briefly to €1.95/kg on Tue, 18.02. Slaughter numbers remain at the level reached. After a brief rise, cut prices are moving downwards again. Forward prices for the new front month Apr.-25 have stabilized at €1.78/kg. However, the summer months 2025 are quoted between €1.95 and €1.98/kg.

Brazil: Producer prices have again increased significantly to €1.98/kg. Increases in domestic prices and booming exports have contributed to this. Expectations for 2025 remain high.

China: Prices remained surprisingly stable at € 2.93/kg after the New Year festivities. Prices are usually expected to fall rapidly after the festive period. The month of March-2025 is quoted at €2.28/kg on the Dalian exchange, and prices are only expected to rise again in the summer months. Pork production is expected to continue at a reduced level.

Conclusion: The supply bottleneck at the turn of the year and the subdued demand sentiment in the first few weeks of the year are only slowly subsiding. Hidden price cuts outside of the quotation range are causing displeasure. However, the first weak signs of an improvement in the market situation (low pre-registrations, decreasing weights) are encouraging.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

Slaughter numbers and carcass weights - despite a downward trend - still appear to be so high for the restrained demand that no potential for price increases is seen.

However, the falling supply figures indicate that prices may improve in the future.

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