Germany:V-price1.72 €/kg (range 1.72 - 1.82 €/kg)
The weekly slaughter figures were lower at 668,384 pigs (previous week 735,324) and slaughter weights fell to 98.8 kg .
Pre-registrations for the current week amount to 267,630 (previous week 271,300)
The ISN auction on Tue, 18.03.2025 delivered a result of 1.77 €/kg in a range of 1.77 - 1.78 €/kg.
The V-price for the period from 20.03.2025 to 26.03.2025 has been set at 1.72 €/kg in a range of 1.72 - 1.82 €/kg.
Slaughter pig market in Germany
ASF: A total of 1,456 ASF-infected wild boars (+58 compared to the previous week) have been found in Hesse and Rhineland-Palatinate. A 2nd case has occurred near the border with Baden-Württemberg.
Market and price developments in selected competitor countries:
In Denmark , the comparably calculated prices of € 1.50/kg will once again remain unchanged in week 12, 2025.
In Belgium, the comparably calculated prices of €1.77/kg will be raised by +3 ct/kg in week 12, 2025.
In the Netherlands , prices will be increased by +1 ct/kg in week 12, 2025 with comparable prices of €1.79/kg.
In France/Brittany , the comparable prices will remain unchanged at €1.86/kg . Slaughter figures are moving only slightly.
In Italy, prices in week 12, 2025 have been reduced again by -1 ct/kg to €1.50/kg. Domestic and foreign supply is sufficiently high to meet demand.
In Spain, the price will be increased again by +4 ct/kg to €2.21/kg in week 12, 2025. The short domestic supply must be supplemented by imports to cover demand.
In the USA/IOWA , producer prices fell to 1.78 €/kg on Mon, 17.03.. Cut prices have also fallen. Slaughter numbers have risen slightly. Forward prices for the new front month Apr.-25 have decreased to 1.70 €/kg due to the weak dollar exchange rate. Prices are not expected to rise again until the summer months.
Brazil: Producer prices have stabilized again at €1.78/kg. Weak domestic demand is being offset by a stronger exchange rate. However, expectations for 2025 remain positive. Hopes are pinned on exports to Mexico if the US tariffs come into effect.
China: At € 2.66/kg, prices are on the usual seasonal downward trend. The month of March 2025 is quoted at € 2.30/kg on the Dalian exchange; moderate price increases are only expected again in the summer months. Pork production in 2025 will remain below the previous year.
Conclusion: The live supply in Germany is decreasing noticeably. In some regions, goods are becoming scarcer and surcharges are being paid. The upward price range has widened further. In neighboring countries, with the exception of Italy, further price increases have been implemented.
The opportunities for price increases in the pre-Easter period are within reach.
ZMP Live Expert Opinion
The continuously shrinking live supply in conjunction with decreasing carcass weights is driving the price range up considerably, at least for the time being. In the coming weeks before Easter, price increases are likely to come to bear as demand grows.
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