Germany:V-price1.72 €/kg (range 1.72 - 1.72 €/kg)
At 660,160 pigs (previous week 655,700), the weekly slaughter figures are once again higher, while slaughter weights remain well above average at 100 kg .
Pre-registrations for the current week amount to 373,500 (previous week 373,300)
The ISN auction on Tue, 21.01.2025 has been canceled.
The V-price for the period from 23.01.2025 to 29.01.2025 has been set at 1.72 €/kg in a range of 1.72 - 1.72 €/kg
Slaughter pig market Germany
ASF: In Hesse and Rhineland-Palatinate, a total of 831 ASF-infected wild boars (+44 compared to the previous week) have been found so far. The situation in Rhineland-Palatinate has calmed down.
FMD: In Brandenburg, no further cases have been reported to date from the infected water buffalo herd.
Market and price developments in selected competitor countries:
In Denmark , the comparably calculated prices of € 1.50/kg will remain unchanged in CW 05, 2025.
In Belgium, the comparably calculated prices of €1.70/kg will be reduced by -5 ct/kg in CW 05, 2025.
In the Netherlands , prices will be reduced again by -6 ct/kg in CW 05, 2025 with comparable prices of €1.68/kg.
In France/Brittany , the comparable prices will remain unchanged at €1.87/kg . Slaughter numbers have fallen back to average levels at 361,000; slaughter weights are at 98.2 kg.
In Italy, prices in week 5, 2025 were reduced again by -2 ct/kg to €1.67/kg. A high domestic supply supplemented by imports is putting pressure on the price development with restrained demand.
In Spain, the price was reduced by -1 ct/kg to €2.03/kg in week 5, 2025. The domestic live supply remains sufficiently high, but the export business remains difficult.
In the USA/IOWA , producer prices were lowered to €1.67/kg at the beginning of the year. Slaughter figures are back to average levels after the holidays. Cold store stocks remain unchanged. Cut prices show little movement. Forward prices for the new front month Feb-25 have fallen back to €1.73/kg.
Brazil: Producer prices have stabilized at 1.66 €/kg (+1 ct/kg). Domestic prices and the stronger currency remain largely unchanged. The previous weeks-long high price phase of € 1.80/kg will no longer be reached. A somewhat more moderate increase in production of +1.8% and an increase in exports of +6.6% are now expected for 2025.
China: Prices have risen again to €2.93/kg. Prices are expected to remain stable until the Chinese New Year on 29 Jan 25. After the Chinese New Year, demand usually drops considerably. The month of March-2025 is quoted at €2.28/kg on the Dalian exchange, with prices not expected to rise again until the summer months. Pork production in 2024 has only fallen by -1.5% with falling unit numbers but higher slaughter weights. Contradictory opinions are currently still being expressed for 2025.
Conclusion: A supply backlog after the holidays, a post-Christmas sales slump and the shock news of the foot and mouth outbreak are keeping prices under pressure. Further price cuts cannot be ruled out. However, the extent is not yet clear and depends on the further development and handling of FMD.
ZMP Live Expert Opinion
The usual problems of the first few weeks of the new year, with excess supply and weak demand, will be exacerbated this year by the unpredictable development of FMD. It is impossible to predict whether the situation will ease or worsen.
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