Germany:V-price1.72 €/kg (range 1.72 - 1.72 €/kg)
The weekly slaughter figures are slightly higher at 664,593 pigs (previous week 660,160), the slaughter weights remain above average at 99.9 kg .
The pre-registrations for the current week are (previous week 373,500)
The ISN auction on Tue, 28.01.2025 has been canceled.
The V-price for the period from 30.01.2025 to 05.02.2025 has been set at 1.72 €/kg in a range of 1.72 - 1.72 €/kg.
Slaughter pig market in Germany
ASF: In Hesse and Rhineland-Palatinate, a total of 937 ASF-infected wild boars (+106 compared to the previous week) have been found so far. The situation in Rhineland-Palatinate has calmed down.
FMD: No further findings to date, but cause of entry remains unclear.
Market and price developments in selected competitor countries:
In Denmark , the comparably calculated prices of €1.47/kg will be set back by -3 ct/kg in CW 06, 2025.
In Belgium, the comparably calculated prices of €1.70/kg will remain unchanged in CW 06, 2025.
In the Netherlands , the quotes in CW 06 2025 will be changed insignificantly with comparably calculated prices of €1.67/kg.
In France/Brittany , the comparable prices will remain unchanged at €1.87/kg . Slaughter numbers have fallen back to average levels at 361,000; slaughter weights are at 98.2 kg.
In Italy, prices in week 6, 2025 were reduced again by -1 ct/kg to €1.67/kg. Supply is sufficiently high to meet demand.
In Spain, the price will remain unchanged at €2.03/kg in CW 06, 2025. Live supply is limited; the export business is picking up a little.
In the USA/IOWA , producer prices have strengthened strongly to € 1.78/kg after a weak start to the year. Slaughter figures have risen again. Cut prices are moving unevenly. Forward prices for the front month of Feb-25 have fallen back to €1.72/kg. However, the summer months 2025 are quoted between €1.95 and €1.98/kg.
Brazil: Producer prices have stabilized at 1.69 €/kg (+3 ct/kg). The decisive factor is the stronger currency. The previous weeks-long high price phase of €1.80/kg will no longer be reached. A somewhat more moderate increase in production of +1.8% and an increase in exports of +6.6% are now expected for 2025.
China: Prices have fallen back to €2.90/kg. The New Year festive week that has just started will not provide any new quotations for the time being. Prices are usually expected to fall rapidly after the festive period. The month of March-2025 is quoted at €2.30/kg on the Dalian exchange, and prices are not expected to rise again until the summer months. Pork production in 2024 has only fallen by -1.5% with falling numbers but higher slaughter weights. Contradictory opinions are currently still being expressed for 2025.
Conclusion: A supply backlog after the holidays, a post-Christmas sales slump and the shock news of the FMD outbreak are keeping prices under pressure. Further price cuts are no longer expected. However, the extent is not yet clear and depends on the further development and handling of FMD.
ZMP Live Expert Opinion
Repeatedly unchanged prices signal that the price weakness is easing. The FMD shock has so far not exacerbated the market situation. The supply bottleneck at the turn of the year and the subdued demand sentiment in the first few weeks of the year are also subsiding.
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