03.
07.25
Butchers squeeze, consumers hesitate - price meltdown in the pig market

Schweine News, 03/Jul/2025

Bullish
  • Manageable live offer
  • High temperatures slow down fattening
  • Decline in pig farms
Bearish
  • Weak demand for meat at home and abroad
  • Pressure from slaughterhouses
  • Seasonal weakness due to the vacation and vacation period

The pig market remains under pressure. Despite limited supply, slaughterhouses are exerting increasing pressure on prices. Slaughter days were reduced - Tönnies, for example, cut two complete days at its Sögel site. As a result, the VEZG quotation fell significantly by 15 cents to €1.95/kg SG. At the same time, the Internet Pig Exchange remained without result, as the minimum prices demanded were not achieved. Pressure on producers also increased in neighboring countries, leading to falling prices of up to 6 cents in Belgium and the Netherlands.

The situation on the meat market also remains tense. Demand is subdued - both domestically and for export. The start of the vacations in several federal states is also dampening the consumer climate. Despite this weak sales situation, there is a steady flow of animals ready for slaughter without congestion, which is currently reflected in falling slaughter weights.

There is little movement on the slaughter sow market due to seasonal factors. The official quotation remained unchanged at €1.20/kg SG, although the price paid out is in some cases significantly lower, such as at Tönnies at €0.95/kg. Demand for processed goods is low and supply is correspondingly tight.

Piglet prices fell noticeably. In Germany, prices for 25 kg piglets fell by €2.50. Weaker prices were also reported in the Netherlands.

At a political level, the deadline for implementing the Animal Husbandry Labeling Act was postponed to March 2026. In addition, a new case of African swine fever was confirmed in the Siegen-Wittgenstein district - a risk that continues to weigh on the market.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

The tense situation on the pig market is likely to continue in the coming weeks. Although the live supply remains limited, the massive pressure from slaughterhouses, coupled with sluggish demand for meat, argues for further price corrections in the short term. The start of the summer vacations and the persistently subdued consumer sentiment are unlikely to provide any noticeable impetus for sales.

In the medium term, however, the high temperatures, declining slaughter weights and the structurally declining number of pig farms could further tighten the supply situation. If demand stabilizes over the course of the summer or picks up due to export impulses, a price stabilization or moderate recovery would be conceivable.

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