26.
04.23
Prices unchanged

Schweine News, 04/26/2023

Bullish
  • persistently scarce living supply
  • below-average battle numbers
  • consumption-increasing barbecue weather in prospect
Bearish
  • restrained consumption

Slaughter pig market Germany 2023 17./18. Week Thurs to Wed 16./17. Week Thurs to Wed 15./16. Week Thurs to Wed 14./15. Week Thurs to Wed 13./14. Week Thurs to Wed 12./13. Week Thurs to Wed 11./12. Week Thurs to Wed 10./11. Week Thurs to Wed 09./10. CW Thu to Wed V. price (€ /kg) 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.28 2.28 2.28 Price range (€/kg) 2.33 – 2.38 2.33 – 2.38 2.33 – 2.38 2.33 – 2.38 2.33 – 2.38 2.28 – 2.35 2.28 – 2.33 2.28 – 2 .33 2.28 – 2.33 Advance registrations (pieces) 240,000 248,000 239,100 237,900 239,300 234,000 238,100 238,000 227,400 ISN Internet auction (Tue - Fri) 25.04 21.04 18.04 14.04 Holiday 03/31 03/28 24.03 21.03 17.03 14.03. 10.03 07.03. 03.03 28.02. Average price (€/kg) 2.42 2.42 2.44 2.46 2.41 2.40 2.43 2.46 2.46 2.38 2.40 2.38 2.36 2.36 2, 36 2.35 Overhang in % 5% 14% -- 67% 44% -- -- 27% - - - - - -- 2023 16.Week 15 Week 14 Week 13 Week 12 Week 11 Week 10 Week 9 Battle numbers (pieces) 740,746 649,447 669,429 747,160 732,185 740,817 738,728 746,679 Slaughter weight (kg) 97.7.4 97.4 97.4 97.2 97.1 97.2 97.2

Germany: V price 2.33 €/kg (range 2.33 – 2.38 €/kg) The weekly slaughter figures are 740,746 pigs ( previous week 649,447 ) was low due to public holidays, the slaughter weights are slightly higher at 97.4 kg . With 240,000 pigs (previous week 248,000 ), the pre-registrations remain below the average of previous years.At the ISN auction on Tuesday, April 25, 2023, an average price of €2.42/kg or -2 ct/kg compared to the pre-auction was achieved in a range of €2.415 to €2.42/kg. The V price has been retained at €2.33/kg for the period from April 20, 2023 to April 26, 2023 within a range of €2.33 to €2.38/kg; ASF : As of April 24, 2023, 5,288 wild boar infected with ASF have been officially confirmed in Brandenburg, Saxony and Mecklenburg. Market and price development in selected competitor countries: In Denmark , prices in the 17th week of 2023 were increased by +4 ct /kg to a comparable calculated €2.04/kg . The Danish listing is thus approaching those on the continent. In Belgium, the prices in the 17th week of 2023 have been retained unchanged at €2.21/kg .As a result of the live export of slaughter pigs, the supply is scarce, but meat sales are limited. In the Netherlands , the prices in the 17th week of 2023 remained unchanged with a comparable calculation of €2.22/kg . In France/Brittany, the prices were set at €2.29/kg, a further 7 ct/kg lower . Slaughter figures have risen to 364,802 pigs, slaughter weights have fallen to 96.36 kg. In Italy, the listings in the 17th week of 2023 remained unchanged. The demand for meat is reaching its limits. In Spain, the prices in the 17th week of 2023 remained unchanged at a comparable €2.64/ kg. The high price level slows down sales opportunities. The PRRS epidemic causes high casualties. Pigs and piglets are brought in from abroad. In the USA/IOWA, prices have fallen to the equivalent of €1.36/kg . The battle numbers have increased again after the holidays.Cold store inventories are high. The prices for cuts have fallen across the board. The stock market listings for the summer months are only sufficient for €1.82/kg. Brazil: On average, producer prices have fallen again slightly to €1.53/kg with weaker REAL. The price range between the regions has narrowed considerably. Export focus remains China/HK, South Korea and the Philippines. China: Prices fell significantly in mid-April 2023 to the equivalent of €2.59/kg . The demand for meat remains seasonally weak. Government stock purchases have been discontinued. Prices on the Dalian stock exchange of the equivalent of 3.19 €/kg will only be traded again for Sep.23. Despite increasing domestic production, imports are expected to increase again slightly. Conclusion: The persistently low supply of live meat and the low cold store stocks keep the prices at the level they have been despite the limited demand for meat.The low reserves are too tight for the coming barbecue season to cover the usual additional demand in the barbecue season. There is definitely room for upward pricing.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

Despite the reluctance to buy due to the weather and prices, pig prices remain stable due to the scarce supply of live pigs. Price increases will only be enforceable when the barbecue weather begins. A fundamental increase in the living supply is not in sight. Months ago, too few piglets were stalled because they were not available. And the sow stocks have remained small, so that the replenishment also remains low.

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