06.
09.23
Average price held - range opened downwards

Schweine News, 09/06/2023

Bullish
  • Low slaughter numbers, but high slaughter weights
Bearish
  • increasing pre-registrations

Germany: V- price 2.30 €/ kg (range 2.30 – 2.30 €/kg)The weekly slaughter numbers were lower again at 703,921 pigs ( previous week 717,191) , but the slaughter weights increased significantly at 98.3 kg . The pre-registrations are 2 70 .(previous week 236,800) increased significantly. At the ISN auction on Tuesday, September 5th, 2023, an average price of €2.33/kg was reached. achieved in a range of 2.31 – 2.34 €/kg. The V price has been set at €2.30/kg in a range of €2.20 - €2.30/kg for the period from September 7th, 2023 to September 13th, 2023. ASF : As of August 28, 2023, 5,540 ASF-infected wild boars have been officially confirmed in Brandenburg, Saxony and Mecklenburg. ASF is spreading rapidly in the Balkans (including Bosnia and Macedonia).Market and price development in selected competing countries: In Denmark, the comparable prices of €2.25/kg remained unchanged in the 36th week of 2023. In Belgium, prices were reduced by -4 ct/kg in the 36th week of 2023 with a comparable calculation of €2.19/kg . In the Netherlands, prices will be reduced by 1 ct/ kg in the 36th week of 2023 with a comparable calculation of €2.17/ kg. In France/Brittany the prices have been reset by -5 ct/kg to €2.046/kg . The number of battles rose to 355,972; Slaughter weights are 96.65 kg. In Italy , the prices were reduced by -1 ct/kg in the 36th week of 2023. The offer just covers the needs. The seasonal holiday effect still has an impact. In Spain the prices are in the 36th.Week 2023 with a comparable €2.49/ kg reduced by -3 ct/kg for the 4th time. Low competitive prices for meat sales are forcing prices to be adjusted downwards. In the USA/IOWA, producer prices have fallen further to €1.64/kg. The number of battles remains at a high level. Partial prices are falling significantly in some cases. For Oct. 23, the stock market prices are only at €1.68/kg. Brazil: Producer prices have stabilized again on average at €1.52/kg . The live supply remains seasonally limited. Domestic demand is stabilizing. After the reduced export figures, the export business improved in August. China: Prices have risen again to €2.88/kg. The increased government purchases of stocks have caused prices to rise. Only for the consumption-intensive month of January 2024 is €2.93/kg expected again.However, the spring months of 2024 show weaker tendencies again . Conclusion: After the price setbacks in previous weeks, the market and price developments in Germany still remain in flux. The live supply remains limited, but varies greatly from region to region. However, the price corrections in neighboring countries have not yet ended.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

When it comes to the live supply, fewer pigs arrive at the slaughterhouses for slaughter, but at a higher slaughter weight. Pre-registrations are increasing significantly. However, an increasing supply of meat is still met by a slight increase in demand. The market conditions vary greatly from region to region. The result is a wider downward range.

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