09.
07.25
Pig market: Slaughterhouses put pressure on producers

Schweine News, 09/Jul/2025

Bullish
  • low live supply
  • Summer heat in southern Europe slows down animal growth
Bearish
  • Weak demand during the vacation season
  • High price pressure from slaughterhouses

Germany: V-price 1.95 €/kg (range 1.95 - 2.00 €/kg)

The weekly slaughter figures for this week have not yet been published by the BLE.

(previous week. 714,266) the slaughter weights of the previous week were 97.7 kg.

The pre-registrations for the current week amount to 255,500 (previous week: 258,700)

The ISN auction on Tue, 08.07.2025 delivered a result of 1.95 €/kg in a range of 1.95 - 1.95 €/kg.

The V-price is for the period from 10.07.2025 to 16.07.2025has been set at € 1.95/kg within a range of € 1.95 - 2.00/kg .

Market and price development in selected competitor countries:

In Denmark , the comparably calculated prices fell by -7 ct/kg to €1. 99/kg in CW 28, 2025.

In Belgium, the comparable prices were reduced by -9 ct/kg to €1.90/kg in CW 28, 2025.

In the Netherlands , prices will be reduced by -12 ct/kg to €1.95/kg in week 28, 2025.

In France/Brittany , the comparable prices will be increased by +3 ct/kg to €2.08/kg .

In Italy, prices remained unchanged at €1.66/kg LG in week 28, 2025.

In Spain, the price will remain unchanged at €2.37/kg in week 28, 2025. Spain is currently suffering from a heatwave, which is affecting slaughter weights and supporting the price at a comparatively high level, contrary to the general downward trend.

In the USA/IOWA , producer prices were the equivalent of €2.08/kg and were therefore only just able to hold their own. The dollar exchange rate remains very weak at 1.1727 $ = 1 €. Due to Independence Day in the USA, slaughter volumes have fallen and prices for cuts have risen significantly. Higher slaughter volumes are expected for future dates, which is why prices for October are significantly lower at the equivalent of €1.75/kg.

Brazil: Prices remained almost stable at an average of €1.72/kg. Domestic prices fell slightly and the exchange rate was somewhat weaker. Exports did not reach the spring level, but were clearly above the previous year's level. Lower prices for beef and poultry meat are having a dampening effect on the pig market.

China: Pork prices continue to fall to €2.35/kg, which is typical for the season. On the Dalian exchange, the new front month Sep-2025 rose slightly to €2.26/kg. Lower domestic production is expected for the second half of the year as a result of earlier herd reductions. In order to support pig farming, which is currently not very profitable, the government is promoting measures to stimulate demand.

Conclusion: The pig market is currently showing a downward trend. Despite low supply volumes, the current price level cannot be maintained. Demand is falling short of expectations, particularly in the barbecue segment. Seasonal factors such as the vacation season are putting pressure on the market as a whole. Canceled slaughter days, especially in Europe, forced producers to accept lower prices. An easing of the situation is not yet in sight. The vacation season is putting additional pressure on prices.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

Supply on the pig market remains manageable, which is generally supportive, but there is a lack of sufficient impetus on the demand side during the vacation season. Meat marketing remains difficult, meaning that no significant price pressure is expected from slaughterhouses. At the same time, declining imports and the limited supply of live animals from southern Europe are having a stabilizing effect.

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