10.
09.25
Anti-dumping duties cause uncertainty in a calm situation

Schweine News, 10/Sep/2025

Bullish
  • Stable demand from slaughterhouses
  • Structural decline in the portfolio
Bearish
  • Anti-dumping duties cause uncertainty
  • Supply pressure in Spain
  • Prices remain unchanged despite seasonal changeover

Germany: V-price 1.95 €/kg (range 1.93 - 2.00 €/kg)

The weekly slaughter figures are 743,394 (previous week: 736,005). The slaughter weights are 97.9 kg (previous week: 97.8 kg).

The pre-registrations for the current week amount to 262,200 (previous week: 260,300)

The ISN auction on Tue, 09.09.2025 was at 2.00 €/kg in a range of: 2.00 - 2.00 €/kg.

The V-price is for the period from 11.09.2025 to 17.09.2025has been set at € 1.95/kg in a range of € 1.93 - 2.00/kg .

Market and price development in selected competitor countries:

In Denmark , the comparably calculated prices are unchanged at €1.90/kg in CW 37, 2025.

In Belgium, there is no change in week 37 of 2025. The price therefore remains at € 1.75/kg.

In the Netherlands , prices remain unchanged at €1. 89/kg in week 37, 2025.

In France/Brittany , comparable prices fell by 5 ct to €1.91/kg in week 37.

In Italy, prices rose by 11 ct to €2.61/kg in week 37, 2025.

In Spain, the comparable price fell by 2 ct in week 37 of 2025 and is now lower at €2.12/kg.

USA: with a dollar exchange rate of 1.17 $ = 1.00 € , producer prices are currently stable at around 2.00 €/kg. Trading has recently been characterized by contradictory impulses. While the futures prices trended partly firmer and partly weaker, most cuts fell this week. Only the neck was able to hold its own. Slaughter figures were up on the previous year, underlining the ongoing brisk supply situation.

Brazil: TheBrazilian pig market remains extremely stable. Firm domestic demand and significantly higher exports continue to provide good conditions for fatteners. Current producer prices are the equivalent of € 1.89/kg.

China: Prices in China are currently at the equivalent of €2.13/kg and have fallen again compared to the previous week. The government also imposed high anti-dumping duties on EU pork on September 5. From September 10, this will affect a market worth over 2 billion dollars a year and is seen as a clear response to the EU tariffs on Chinese electric cars. Companies such as Litera Meat with 15.6% or Danish Crown with 31.3% will get off relatively lightly, while other exporters will have to pay the maximum rate

asp

Conclusion
The slaughter pig market is balanced. Supply and demand matched, there were no visible surpluses and prices moved sideways. Auction results were slightly above the current level. The meat market remains subdued, the switch to the fall range has not yet provided any noticeable impetus. Slaughter numbers and weights increased slightly. Piglet prices also remain stable. Across Europe, the situation is largely unchanged. While Spain and France remained under pressure, prices in Italy improved. The anti-dumping duties on EU goods announced in China are causing additional uncertainty.

ZMP Live+ Logo

ZMP Live Expert Opinion

The current balance supports stable prices in the short term. Slightly rising slaughter figures and unchanged piglet markets suggest a calm continuation. The lack of demand stimuli in the meat trade limits upward scope. Risks lie in the Chinese anti-dumping duties and continued cautious retail trade. Robust intra-European trade and a solid outflow level for slaughter pigs are having a positive effect. In the medium term, the structural supply shortage due to declining stocks will remain a supporting factor, provided no external shocks occur.

ZMP Market Trends
Latest news from the markets, in compact for you

You see historical data because you're not logged in or not a ZMP Live+ member. Get your information advantage now!

24.
04.25
14:23

Impact of US tariff policy on the global pork trade Compared to other agricultural products with a longer shelf life, global trade in pork is comparatively low at less than 9% of production. However, a distinction must be made between the sensitive fresh or chilled cuts and the so-called by-products. By comparison, the global beef trade is…

read on
15.
04.25
08:52

USDA with new estimate of the global pork market In mid-April 2025, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) published a revised estimate of the global pork market in 2025. Total production is expected to increase slightly to 116.7 million tons. Global consumption will increase by the same amount. Global trade will fall slightly to 10.17 million…

read on
23.
12.24
11:24

Livestock census Nov 2024: Pig herds stabilize - at a greatly reduced level The preliminary results of the most recent livestock census in Nov. 2024 showed little change in livestock numbers. Compared to the same month last year, the total number of pigs was 21.18 million (previous year: 21.22 million). The low was in May 2023 with 20.95 million…

read on
Rückrufservice
Please describe your request so that we can prepare for the callback.
Yes, I have read the Privacy Policy note and I consent that the data provided by me, including the contact data, for the processing of the inquiry and in case of questions are electronically collected and stored. My data will only be used strictly for my request and will not be passed without my consent. This consent can be revoked any time with effect for the future.'
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.

Register now

Register now and test ZMP Live+ for 14 days free of charge!
  • Permanently free of charge
  • No payment information required
Help?

Do you have questions about ZMP Live? Our team will be happy to help you. Please feel free to send us a message:

Our privacy policy applies

CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.