13.
08.25
No demand stimulus for the time being

Schweine News, 13/Aug/2025

Bullish
  • Seasonally limited supply of animals ready for slaughter
  • Lower weight gain rates at hot temperatures reduce slaughter volumes
Bearish
  • Price declines in France and Spain weigh on European price landscape
  • Higher slaughter figures compared to the previous year increase supply pressure in the longer term

Germany: V-price 1.95 €/kg (range 1.95 - 2.00 €/kg)

The weekly slaughter figures are 734,065 (previous week: 723,909). The slaughter weights are 97.6 kg. In the previous week they were 97.4 kg.

The pre-registrations for the current week amount to 252 , 800 (previous week: 252,600)

The ISN auction on Tue, 12.08.2025 delivered a result of 2.00 €/kg in a range of 2.01 - 2.00 €/kg.

The V-price is for the period from 14.08.2025 to 20.08.2025has been set at € 1.95/kg within a range of € 1.95 - 2.00/kg .

Market and price development in selected competitor countries:

In Denmark , the comparably calculated prices are unchanged at €1.90/kg in CW 33, 2025.

In Belgium, there is no change in the 33rd week of 2025. The price therefore remains at €1.75/kg.

In the Netherlands , prices will remain unchanged at €1. 89/kg in week 33, 2025.

In France/Brittany , comparable prices have fallen by 4 ct and now stand at €2.01/kg.

In Italy, prices remained unchanged at €2.50/kg in week 33, 2025.

In Spain, the comparable price fell by 3 ct in week 33, 2025 and is now lower at €2.27/kg.

USA/IOWA: at a dollar exchange rate of 1.17 $ = 1.00 € , producer prices in the first weeks of August are up to 2.18 €/kg , which represents an increase of around 10 ct, but is also largely due to the weaker dollar. Last week, the US pig market recorded rising slaughter figures, which at around 962,000 animals were well above the previous week's level. The base price remained stable, while cuts showed slight price declines. Only ribs were able to increase here. Overall, the market environment remained solid, supported by continued good demand.

Brazil: From January to July 2025, Brazil's pork exports rose by 12.9% to 848,800 tons, while sales increased by 26.7% to USD 2.039 billion. In July, volumes fell by 8.3%, but sales rose slightly by 2.2%. Export destinations are more widely distributed, with growth in the Philippines and Chile, among others, but declines in China and Japan. Current producer prices are the equivalent of € 1.78/kg.

China: Prices in China are currently at €2.24/kg and have fallen by around 9 ct compared to the price level at the beginning of August. However, this is also due to the stronger euro. Nevertheless, a large supply is weighing on the market in China with lower demand. China is therefore planning to reduce the number of breeding sows by around one million animals in order to reduce overcapacity and stabilize the market. In addition, sole fattening is to be curbed, slaughter weights more strictly controlled and new production capacities limited.

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Conclusion
In the week under review, the market for pigs for slaughter was balanced and calm. The marketing of batches ready for slaughter is continuing steadily, while the seasonally limited supply is meeting with restrained demand. Several lots also remained unsold at the Internet Pig Exchange auctions. There is a lack of impetus on the meat market and stockpiling is currently unattractive for slaughterhouses. Piglet markets are stable, available lots are being marketed promptly. Across the EU, quotations remain largely constant, with prices continuing to fall in Spain and France.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

Expert opinion:

The market is typically quiet for the season, with a balanced relationship between supply and demand. The stable development over the past few weeks illustrates the limited momentum in an environment of weak meat sales. The low supply has a stabilizing effect, but does not prevent selective price reductions in weaker regions of Europe. In the medium term, the decisive factor will be whether demand picks up again after the summer vacations. Until then, sideways movements without strong price signals can be expected.

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