17.
09.25
Export pressure and weak prices weigh on pig market

Schweine News, 17/Sep/2025

Bullish
  • Decline in live imports of slaughter pigs and piglets from abroad
  • Solid supply relationships secure sales
  • End of the vacation season
Bearish
  • Uncertainty due to Chinese anti-dumping duties
  • Announcement by Tönnies to reduce the price of slaughter sows
  • Strong euro

Germany: V-price 1.85 €/kg (range 1.85 - 1.90 €/kg)

The weekly slaughter figures are 741,350 (previous week: 743,394). The slaughter weights are 98.1 kg (previous week: 97.9 kg).

The pre-registrations for the current week amount to 271,700 (previous week: 262,200)

The ISN auction on Tue, 16.09.2025 was without trade.

The V-price is for the period from 18.09.2025 to 24.09.2025has been set at €1.85/kg within a range of €1.85 - €1.90/kg .

Market and price development in selected competitor countries:

In Denmark , comparably calculated prices fell by 7 ct in the 38th week of 2025 and stand at €1.83/kg.

In Belgium, there was a drop of 4 ct in the 38th week of 2025. The price thus falls to €1.71/kg.

In the Netherlands, prices fell by 6 ct in week 38, 2025, to €1. 83/kg.

In France/Brittany , comparable prices fell by 6 ct to €1.85/kg in week 38.

In Italy, prices rose by 3 ct to €2.64/kg in the 38th week of 2025.

In Spain, the comparable price fell by 4 ct in week 38, 2025 and is now lower at €2.08/kg.

USA: with a dollar exchange rate of 1.18 $ = 1.00 € , producer prices are currently around 1.98 €/kg. Trading is currently largely stable. The market is currently expecting a reduction in interest rates in the USA, which will weaken the dollar and increase export opportunities. Slaughter figures have risen in the weekly review and prices for cuts have recently suffered losses. Nevertheless, the picture so far is stable due to the weak dollar.

Brazil: Brazil significantly increased its pork exports in September 2025: over 63,000 tons were exported in the first two weeks of September, around 24% more than in the previous year. Domestic demand remained stable and prices for slaughter pigs and meat reached their highest level since the end of 2024, supported by strong exports and lower feed costs. A new biosecurity regulation in Santa Catarina, which prescribes stricter protective measures against animal diseases, was politically influential. In addition, Chinese tariffs on EU pork are opening up new opportunities for Brazil as a supplier on the global market. Current producer prices are stable at the equivalent of €1.89/kg.

China: Prices in China are currently at the equivalent of €2.07/kg and have fallen again compared to the previous week. China has invited large pig producers to talks in order to reduce the oversupply and stabilize the sharp fall in pig prices by reducing the herd. This is due to price falls of around 25% for pigs this year alone. At the same time, anti-dumping duties of up to 62.4% were imposed on EU pork exports, which mainly affect offal. For European producers, this means falling revenues and the risk of production cuts despite a recovery that is just beginning.

asp

Conclusion
The market situation on the slaughter pig market has deteriorated significantly. Meat sales remain lackluster, while the European market is additionally burdened by Chinese anti-dumping duties. Large slaughtering companies are increasing the pressure on producers, which is leading to noticeable market uncertainty. The supply of pigs ready for slaughter is increasing seasonally, but has so far been steadily marketed. In the piglet market, a growing supply is meeting with declining demand and prices are falling.

ZMP Live+ Logo

ZMP Live Expert Opinion

The combination of persistently weak demand in the meat market and external economic burdens due to Chinese tariffs is putting the German pig market under increasing pressure. While a limited live supply is still having a stabilizing effect, declining export opportunities and falling piglet prices could weigh on the outlook. The decline in imports of pigs for slaughter is having a positive effect and should provide relief from the fourth quarter onwards. The decisive factor will be whether EU meat exports can be directed to alternative markets.

ZMP Market Trends
Latest news from the markets, in compact for you

You see historical data because you're not logged in or not a ZMP Live+ member. Get your information advantage now!

24.
04.25
14:23

Impact of US tariff policy on the global pork trade Compared to other agricultural products with a longer shelf life, global trade in pork is comparatively low at less than 9% of production. However, a distinction must be made between the sensitive fresh or chilled cuts and the so-called by-products. By comparison, the global beef trade is…

read on
15.
04.25
08:52

USDA with new estimate of the global pork market In mid-April 2025, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) published a revised estimate of the global pork market in 2025. Total production is expected to increase slightly to 116.7 million tons. Global consumption will increase by the same amount. Global trade will fall slightly to 10.17 million…

read on
23.
12.24
11:24

Livestock census Nov 2024: Pig herds stabilize - at a greatly reduced level The preliminary results of the most recent livestock census in Nov. 2024 showed little change in livestock numbers. Compared to the same month last year, the total number of pigs was 21.18 million (previous year: 21.22 million). The low was in May 2023 with 20.95 million…

read on
Rückrufservice
Please describe your request so that we can prepare for the callback.
Yes, I have read the Privacy Policy note and I consent that the data provided by me, including the contact data, for the processing of the inquiry and in case of questions are electronically collected and stored. My data will only be used strictly for my request and will not be passed without my consent. This consent can be revoked any time with effect for the future.'
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.

Register now

Register now and test ZMP Live+ for 14 days free of charge!
  • Permanently free of charge
  • No payment information required
Help?

Do you have questions about ZMP Live? Our team will be happy to help you. Please feel free to send us a message:

Our privacy policy applies

CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.