29.
10.25
South Korea return brings export opportunities

Schweine News, 29/Oct/2025

Bullish
  • Reopening of the South Korean market for German pork
  • Seasonal preparation of processors for the Christmas business
  • Increasing buying interest on the piglet market
Bearish
  • Subdued demand on the meat market despite stable supply
  • Holiday-related disruptions to slaughter planning
  • Third-country exports outside Asia continue to show weak momentum

Germany: V-price 1.70 €/kg (range 1.70 - 1.70 €/kg)

The weekly slaughter figures have not yet been published (previous week: 751,250). In the previous week, they were 98.8 kg.

The pre-registrations for the current week amount to 280,300 (previous week: 287,900)

The ISN auction on Tue, 28.10.2025 took place without agreement in the trade.

The V-price is for the period from 30.10.2025 to 05.11.2025has been set at €1.70/kg within a range of €1.70 - €1.70/kg .

Market and price development in selected competitor countries:

In Denmark , the comparably calculated prices are unchanged in the 44th week of 2025 and have remained at €1.63/kg .

In Belgium, there was an increase of 1 ct in the 44th week of 2025. The price is therefore €1.48/kg.

In the Netherlands , prices remained unchanged in week 44, 2025and stood at €1. 58/kg.

In France/Brittany , comparable prices remained unchanged at €1.72/kg in week 44.

In Italy the quotations in the 44th week of 2025 are 5 ct to 2.51 €/kg fell.

In Spain the comparable price in the 44th week of 2025 fell by 3 ct and stands at 1.83 €/kg is now lower.

USA: at a dollar exchange rate of 1.16 $ = 1.00 € , producer prices are currently around 1.67 €/kg and have therefore fallen by around 3 ct compared to the previous week. Last week, the US pig market was slightly weaker for seasonal reasons. Slaughter pig prices fell, while piglets continued to be in high demand. The weekly slaughter figures remained virtually unchanged, but new inventory figures indicate a decline in supply in the coming months. On the wholesale market, pork prices moved unevenly, with firm demand for ham and weaker development for other cuts. The export market remained subdued, mainly due to oversupply in China with correspondingly low import demand.

Brazil: Current producer prices are the equivalent of €1.79/kg and have almost maintained the previous week's level. The Brazilian pig market was stable in the last week of October, although domestic demand remained weak and producers suffered from rising feed costs. Production is at a record level, with volumes and slaughter figures at an expected annual high. Exports developed particularly strongly in October, significantly exceeding the previous year's level. The Philippines have become the most important customer ahead of China. New trade agreements, for example with Malaysia, and Brazil's freedom from animal diseases are boosting international demand. Overall, the market remains dynamic and growth-oriented, driven primarily by flourishing foreign trade.

China: Prices in China have fallen again in the last week and are at the equivalent of €1.96/kg on the spot market. This marks a new low, but the discounts are now limited, which indicates that the price level is stabilizing. Many fattening farms are currently selling more heavy animals and breeding sows due to economic hardship, which is putting pressure on the market. The political situation is having a significant impact on the market, particularly due to the Chinese punitive tariffs on pork from the EU. This now appears to be leading to an initial stabilization of the Chinese price, albeit at a very low level.

asp

Conclusion
The slaughter pig market was stable in the week under review, with a balanced relationship between supply and demand. Holiday-related shifts led to short-term marketing bottlenecks in some regions, but these had no market-relevant impact. Piglet marketing is increasingly fluid, with buying interest picking up. The meat market remains in calm waters with little impetus from home and abroad. Slaughter figures are slightly down on the previous year, while slaughter weights remain constant.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

The market situation remains stable, but structural challenges persist. Although the supply of pigs ready for slaughter is easy to manage and demand is sufficient at the current level, meat marketing is falling short of expectations. Positive impetus is coming from the reopened export market of South Korea, which is particularly relevant for belly products. Stable to weak prices continue to dominate EU domestic trade, while Spanish suppliers are struggling with sales problems. The piglet market is easing, which indicates an improved outlook for fattening. Decisive impetus is now expected from the Christmas trade.

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