30.
07.25
Pig market in balance: between vacation rest and export hopes

Schweine News, 30/Jul/2025

Bullish
  • Tourism creates demand in southern Europe
  • Shrinking stocks in the Netherlands
  • Rising demand from Asia
Bearish
  • Seasonal lull due to vacation season
  • Strong euro

Germany: V-price 1.95 €/kg (range 1.95 - 2.00 €/kg)

The weekly slaughter figures have not yet been published (previous week: 698,859). The slaughter weights in the previous week were: 97.2 kg.

The pre-registrations for the current week amount to 251,600 (previous week: 250,500)

The ISN auction on Tue, 29.07.2025 delivered a result of 2.02 €/kg in a range of 2.01 - 2.04 €/kg.

The V-price is for the period from 31.07.2025 to 06.08.2025has been set at € 1.95/kg within a range of € 1.95 - 2.00/kg .

Market and price development in selected competitor countries:

In Denmark , the comparably calculated prices are unchanged at €1.90/kg in CW 31, 2025.

In Belgium, there is no change in week 31, 2025. The price therefore remains lower at € 1.75/kg.

In the Netherlands , prices will remain unchanged at 1. 89/kg in week 31, 2025.

In France/Brittany , the comparable prices remained the same at € 2.08/kg .

In Italy, prices rose to €2.45/kg in week 31, 2025.

In Spain, the comparable price fell by 2 ct in week 31, 2025 and is now lower at €2.33/kg.

ASP

ASF:

Hesse is providing emergency financial aid for affected farms. The support payments can cover up to 80% of the damage incurred, up to a maximum of €250,000. One of the prerequisites is an expert opinion on the threat to the existence of the farm by a sworn expert. Applications must be submitted digitally to the relevant authorities by October 30, 2025 at the latest.

Conclusion: The slaughter pig market will remain largely stable in the last week of July 2025. Supply and demand are in balance and the marketing of animals ready for slaughter is proceeding steadily. Despite the vacation season and quiet meat trade, slaughterhouses remain interested in buying. The piglet market is divided: While stable prices dominate in Germany, the Dutch market is under pressure - partly due to a historically low pig population and declining export figures. In Italy, on the other hand, a low live supply and tourist demand are providing slight price impetus - in contrast to the downward trend in Spain.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

The market situation on the European pig market remains stable, supported by a balanced relationship between supply and demand. No trend reversal is expected in the short term, as both slaughter figures and price quotations remain at a constant level. In the long term, however, structural changes such as the drastic decline in Dutch piglet production could lead to a shortage of live supply and trigger potential upward pressure on prices. At the same time, the slight increase in EU exports to third countries and stable demand stimuli from Asia point to a gradual recovery. In the medium term, this could result in rising prices and a firmer market trend - provided that geopolitical risks and global demand trends remain constant.

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