EU expert group pig slaughter in the second half of 2015 higher estimates.
Due to new knowledge and assumptions for the development of pig production in the second half of 2015, the Group of experts of the European Commission estimates an increase of 1.6% and 1.9% in the 3rd and 4th, respectively, the battle figures quarter 2015. Some slight decline rates were predicted in the previous forecast.
The basis of the latest findings provide first livestock census results from the December 2014. All 28 Member States are listed in the current numbers and not just a representative sample of from 220 to 23 countries.
The previous development of fact Wiles slaughter in the EU are to 12 June 2015 incorporated into the calculation. From the experience of previous years, we can conclude with a certain probability for the further development in the second half of.
Should the increasing numbers prove to be correct, then that means that this fall, the slaughter compared to the already very high numbers of the previous year once again be increased. If you the former and current Augenführt course development would have with a heavy fall in prices can be expected.
Strangely , the expert group has maintained the price forecasts from the previous reports unchanged . Therefore EU pork prices should at the grade of E in the third quarter on €1.55 / kg measured rise and fall in the fourth quarter to values between 1.45 to €1.50 per kg.
For the United States even worse price forecasts derive up to the level of €1.30 / kg from the quotes of the Chicago Stock Exchange.
Given the current disastrous sales situation in the country and abroad face several critical months.