EU-KOM: Short-term outlook for the EU meat market
In its autumn edition of a short-term outlook for the EU meat market in the coming year 2025, the European Commission (EU-Commission) does not expect any significant overall change in production, but a slight increase in consumption compared to the current year. While exports are estimated to be -0.4% lower, meat imports are expected to increase by +0.3%. The EU self-sufficiency rate remains at the previous level of 111%.
However, there are differences between the individual types of meat.
In the case of beef, the EU Commission estimates a decrease in production and consumption of -1.1%. Trade (export/import) with third countries is expected to change only insignificantly. EU per capita consumption is estimated at 9.4 kg. The EU SGI remains unchanged at 107%.
In the pork sector, the EU COM expects a decline in production of -0.22%. Gross consumption is expected to increase minimally by +0.1%. Per capita consumption is estimated at 30.9 kg. The SVG remains at around 116%.
EU-KOM estimates that poultry meat production will be +0.9% higher than in the previous year. Consumption is expected to rise by +0.8%. Per capita consumption will increase to 25.2 kg. Net exports will increase by around +1 %.
However, the trend is not uniform across the EU. While livestock numbers are still declining in Spain, France and Italy, among others, and are being reduced with government support in the Netherlands, livestock numbers have stabilized or recovered slightly in Denmark and Germany, among others.
