21.
04.23
Quotations are picking up sharply

Kartoffeln News, 04/21/2023

Bullish
  • Problems early potato cultivation
  • high demand from Belgium
  • low potato stocks
Bearish
  • declining consumer demand for food
  • high inventories in Lower Saxony
  • Potato imports running

Compared to the middle of the week, the April 23 contract on the Leipzig stock exchange has fallen again. At EUR 35.20, however, it is still listed at a very high price level. There were no recent transactions for the other contracts. On the spot markets, the prices for processing potatoes continue to rise. Reka increased its listings, as did Belgapom. Again, it is mainly buyers from Belgium who are driving up the prices. In addition, the planting of new potatoes in particular is stagnating and a smooth transition from one season to the next is not expected. This creates demand, especially for the Belgian factories. In Germany, new publications show that sales of frozen products have increased significantly. French fries sales in particular are booming. In 2022, 18.5% more frozen fries were sold than in 2021. However, sales via food retailers have increased significantly more than sales to the catering trade. Overall, the per capita sales of frozen potato products is 5.58 kg per year. This means that per capita sales have recovered well above the pre-corona level.The France prices have not increased further today, but surveys here show that the stocks in the warehouses are very low. The situation on the food market continues to be very balanced. Supply and demand balance each other out. More and more Egyptian potatoes are coming onto supermarket shelves. The harvest in the North African country is now over. Deliveries from Spain are mostly expected from the beginning of May. Furthermore, market participants no longer expect a change in conditions, prices or even any significant impulses.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

The small stocks and the problematic planting of new potatoes mean that there could be shortages at the end of the season. Prices are therefore rising and the prospects for producers are good at a high level.

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