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05.16
09:49

Seasonal milk deliveries

Seasonal milk delivery: in the southern hemisphere-falling - rising on the northern hemisphere

Milk deliveries in the course of a year is not evenly, but in typical seasonal ups and downs, that vary in turn depending on the region and different seasons.

The production and delivery due to declining forage offer as of Nov./Dec. goes back to the southern hemisphere at the two major exporters of New Zealand and Australia significantly. In the world's largest dairy exporter, New Zealand, the monthly delivery of over 3 million tons falls in the peak month of Oct to 0.5 million tonnes in June/July. The main reason is the almost exclusive grazing. In Australia, milk deliveries will shut down Oct. with 1.1 million tonnes to about 0.65 million tonnes from March to June the peak month. Whereas New Zealand exports more than 95% of its milk production, there are only about 50% in Australia. Both countries together have a range from the maximum to Niedrigstanlieferung by about 3 million tonnes, while New Zealand plays the decisive role.

On the northern hemisphere , the most important milk producers are the EU as the world's largest region, with 160 million tons and the United States with approximately 90 million tonnes. Both countries are involved at the forefront of world exports.

In the EU , the peak of seasonal milk delivery is achieved with a volume of 14 million tonnes in May/June and then falls on average amounts of 12 million tonnes in the autumn-winter period. In the United States , although similar to run the delivery variation as in the EU, are per cow less pronounced but due to an intensive feed-oriented mode of production with average ratings of 10,000 kg. The range is approximately 0.75 million tonnes-maternal.

In all countries, countervailing measures between summer and winter offer amounts are using milk powder and cream freezing.

If however the milk quantities economically be extended, the compensatory measures are not sufficient to stabilize the prices, unless they demand is increasing at the same rate as production.

In the current market situation you are in the EU in addition in the spring months intervention stocks built up to consider. In the early summer months increasing milk production will end all probability only to a small part in a higher consumption. Most of the extra supply will increase the existing stock levels. This results in additional pressure on prices.

The seasonal increase could be percentage higher this year, because the tradition penalty tax temporarily last year has led to a significant constraint on quota levels.

In the Southern Hemisphere seasonal discharge will not suffice all probability, to bring the global milk market in an economic equilibrium between supply and demand. The decisive impetus must come from an throttled quantity while increasing moderate demand . While China is asked in particular.

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