USDA interim report to the global milk market In its bi-annual edition to the assessment of the situation on the global milk market the US Department of agriculture (USDA) comes to a differentiated assessment depending on the product and region. In the average of the 15 most important producing regions should milk deliveries in the year 2016 by 1,2% increase. In the three the growth amounted to 1.9% (2015) and 3.8% (2014) preceding years or 0.8% (2013) The slowdown of production development is on the one hand to low growth rates in major countries, also attributable to reductions of uneconomic milk production in smaller regions. Argentina has its production driven back about 13.5% and Ukraine 5.6% . The amounts in Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Japan, South Korea, Russia and Belarus remain largely unchanged . In the United States an increase is expected 2016 an increase of 1.8% for the EU by 0.9%. India with its self-contained status intended to extend milk production by more than 6% as usual. On the consumption page fresh milk sales to increase worldwide at the same level as the production increase by 1.2%. The H-milk export of 650,000 tonnes in the year 2016 in the direction of Chinawins a growing importance. The average rates of increase be 61% per year since the year 2011. It denies the EU accounted for by rd. 2/3. Significant declines in consumption - 1.8% are predicted for the whole milk powder . Here the restrained role of China, but also in the oil-exporting countries play at low crude oil prices important. In the case of skimmed-milk powder is a stagnant gone from Sales . In the dairy sector are the biggest hindrances for a milk price recovery. Accumulated public and private stocks in the EU will make too far to the year 2017 for price pressures. Growth rates at multi-year average level are estimated for butter (+ 2.44%) and somewhat lower for cheese (+ 1.65%) . In the case of butter, the supply shortages in Russia make (100,000 tons), United States (32,000 t net), Mexico (55,000 t) noticeable. On high and rising cheese imports Japan are instructed with 250,000 t, South Korea with 120,000 tonnes, Russia with 235,000 t and Mexico with 125,000 t. The corresponding product prices have evolved according to the global market opportunities. While for skimmed-milk powder not significant rates of change occur are for other products such as butter and cheese clear signs of price recovery to recognize. In the United States and the EU cut off especially well, while the oceanic quotes rather hard pressed. The prospects for the year 2017 shall be borne by the decreasing production increases and rising sales trends in long-life milk, butter and cheese. Brake factor turn out to be the milk powder products. This applies in particular against the background of public and private stocks stagnant at.
