ASF: China should not impose an import ban on all of Germany

German pig farmers are calling on China to avoid a nationwide ban on pork imports. Yesterday in the state of Brandenburg on the border with Poland, a wild boar carcass was found that tested positive for the African swine fever virus (ASF).
South Korea, the second largest buyer of pork from Germany after China, immediately removed Germany from its supplier list after the news became known. The President of the German Farmers' Association Joachim Rukwied said that pig farmers in this country fear that sales to Asia will break down.
Germany is the largest pork producer in Europe and was able to export meat to China for one billion euros last year. Rukwied hopes that the Chinese market will remain open to us.
In the European Union, the rule applies that not the whole nation, but only the affected region is subject to an export ban. China could do that too. The national consumption of pork in Germany is significantly lower than the production. One now fears massive pressure on producer prices.
Asian sales markets are also so interesting for slaughterhouses in Germany because items such as ears and paws are bought there and have no market here.
The interest group of pig farmers (ISN) also sees exports to China at risk because Germany has now lost its “ASF-free” status. It will be very painful for the farmers.
The federal government is trying to limit the export ban to the affected region. In the past few months, several wild boars with the ASF virus have been found 10 kilometers behind the Polish border. Pigs with ASF were also repeatedly found in ten other countries of the European Union.
China is the world's largest pig producer. Since then, in the summer of 2018, ASF has been found in the livestock for the first time, but has also been the largest importer of pork. Rabobank reported that in 2019, 50% of China's national pig herd at ASF perished or had to be culled to contain the disease. There is no vaccine against the virus.
Today the price of slaughter pigs in Germany was reduced from 1.47 € / kg SG to 1.27 € / kg SG.One wonders now, where will Germany be with the huge amounts of pork if China stops buying.

Hansa Terminhandel GmbH
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