The national weather service in India announces that this year's precipitation will be during the monsoon season in the normal range. Previously it had assumed by above-average lot of rain. It now turns out, that's probably no or only a La Nina weather will be attenuated.
The announcement by too many rainfall provoked already fears that the crop could be damaged. Normal rainfall but now offer the prospect of extraordinarily high yields. The monsoon season from June to September is of great importance for the rainfall-dependent Indian Agriculture, which accounts for 15% of the economic performance of the third largest economy in Asia.
Meteorologists define as normal or average, Indian weather when precipitation differ from 96 to 104% of the 50-year average. During the four-month monsoon season, rain fell per square metre in the last 50 years 890 mm on average.
So far, it was 106% above the average. The calculation is updated in the next week and then there is an update. Also the USDA went out recently by a 55-60% probability for the occurrence of the La Nina weather phenomenon. The value decreased since the previous assessment, which was 75%.
Since June until now India has received 2% less rain than normal.
The monsoon season provides 70% of the annual rainfall in India. The 263 million Indian farmers who produce rice, sugar cane, cotton and soy beans, depend to a great extent, because only half of all farmland can be irrigated.
Until 19 August, summer crops were cultivated on 99.3 million hectares. 5.8% are more than in the previous year, the Agriculture Ministry informs.