17.
05.24
Lower rapeseed cultivation in Germany confirmed

Oilseeds News, 17th / May / 2024

Bullish
  • Lower rapeseed forecasts Europe
  • Weather conditions Canada
  • Floods in Brazil
Bearish
  • Restrained demand China
  • Lower livestock numbers in Europe
  • Economic concerns China
Spot markets at a glance Euro/ton
Rapeseed Apr. 18. May 3. May 3. May 9. May 16. +/-
Hamburg 426,00 436,00 453,00 461,00 469,00 8,00
Straubingen 421,00 431,00 448,00 456,00 468,00 12,00
Soybean meal
Hamburg 385,00 391,00 412,00 427,00 421,00 -6,00
Magdeburg 395,00 401,00 422,00 437,00 431,00 -6,00
Mainz 400,00 415,00 440,00 457,00 448,00 -9,00
Rapeseed meal
Hamburg 292,00 292,00 305,00 305,00 300,00 -5,00
Hamm 293,00 307,00 325,00 325,00 305,00 -20,00
Lower Rhine 286,00 299,00 316,00 320,00 303,00 -17,00

Rapeseed was slightly weaker over the week. The closing price yesterday evening was 473.50 euros/t in the leading August futures contract. Today, prices are showing signs of recovery. By midday, the August contract had risen by 7.50 euros. The overall news situation is currently manageable. Overall, producers are mostly satisfied with the development of stocks. A press release issued by the Federal Statistical Office yesterday shows that the area under cultivation is lower, as expected. This is now stated as 1.1 million hectares, which is 5.8 percent less than the area for the last harvest. In Canada, abundant rainfall, particularly in the western prairie regions, is providing support for winter crops. However, the planting of the planned areas with spring rapeseed has been delayed as a result. The EU Commission is still not publishing any current import data. Technical problems continue to be cited as the reason. Rapeseed meal is still in short supply for prompt delivery.

The soybean market was able to make significant gains on individual days. A look at last Friday's closing price also shows firmer prices in the front month at the closing bell yesterday. Pre-market prices for soybeans rose again this Friday until midday. Overall, soybean meal has been under downward pressure this week, but can start the day on a somewhat friendlier note this morning. Low processing figures for April had weighed on soybeans and soybean meal at times. Export demand in the USA also remains low. The fact that China in particular is clearly holding back is causing uncertainty in some quarters. Planting in the United States is continuing, but precipitation in the Corn Belt, which is forecast for the coming week, could slow the pace.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

Rapeseed moved almost sideways over the week. Here, the focus is increasingly shifting to the new harvest and, in view of the lower harvest expectations in Europe and the increased import demand that is expected, there are signs that prices will remain high. The soybean market is primarily determined by the weather.

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13.
02.26
17:25

Rapeseed / canola - stabilization despite global abundance of oilseeds The oilseed complex is characterized globally by high production volumes and rising ending stocks, particularly for soybeans in South America. At the same time, the IGC analysis signals rising oilseed production and higher global stocks overall, which structurally limits the…

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23.
12.25
12:53

Rapeseed Weekly market development Global: USDA and other forecasts show rising global rapeseed production (including Australia, Canada, Russia) and higher ending stocks. EU context: Sufficient oilseed supply overall; no bottleneck signals. Trend: EU & global: stable to slightly bearish 2-4 week outlook: Sideways, with slight downside risk as…

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10.
12.25
18:53

Rapeseed /Canola & Oilseeds The WASDE report raises rapeseed production globally, including in the EU and Ukraine. However, market reports recently show a decline in oilseed futures partly due to oversupply (e.g. good canola harvests in Australia). Ukrainian export quotations for rapeseed are under pressure, influenced by weak demand and…

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