17.
05.24
Lower rapeseed cultivation in Germany confirmed

Oilseeds News, 17th / May / 2024

Bullish
  • Lower rapeseed forecasts Europe
  • Weather conditions Canada
  • Floods in Brazil
Bearish
  • Restrained demand China
  • Lower livestock numbers in Europe
  • Economic concerns China
Spot markets at a glance Euro/ton
Rapeseed Apr. 18. May 3. May 3. May 9. May 16. +/-
Hamburg 426,00 436,00 453,00 461,00 469,00 8,00
Straubingen 421,00 431,00 448,00 456,00 468,00 12,00
Soybean meal
Hamburg 385,00 391,00 412,00 427,00 421,00 -6,00
Magdeburg 395,00 401,00 422,00 437,00 431,00 -6,00
Mainz 400,00 415,00 440,00 457,00 448,00 -9,00
Rapeseed meal
Hamburg 292,00 292,00 305,00 305,00 300,00 -5,00
Hamm 293,00 307,00 325,00 325,00 305,00 -20,00
Lower Rhine 286,00 299,00 316,00 320,00 303,00 -17,00

Rapeseed was slightly weaker over the week. The closing price yesterday evening was 473.50 euros/t in the leading August futures contract. Today, prices are showing signs of recovery. By midday, the August contract had risen by 7.50 euros. The overall news situation is currently manageable. Overall, producers are mostly satisfied with the development of stocks. A press release issued by the Federal Statistical Office yesterday shows that the area under cultivation is lower, as expected. This is now stated as 1.1 million hectares, which is 5.8 percent less than the area for the last harvest. In Canada, abundant rainfall, particularly in the western prairie regions, is providing support for winter crops. However, the planting of the planned areas with spring rapeseed has been delayed as a result. The EU Commission is still not publishing any current import data. Technical problems continue to be cited as the reason. Rapeseed meal is still in short supply for prompt delivery.

The soybean market was able to make significant gains on individual days. A look at last Friday's closing price also shows firmer prices in the front month at the closing bell yesterday. Pre-market prices for soybeans rose again this Friday until midday. Overall, soybean meal has been under downward pressure this week, but can start the day on a somewhat friendlier note this morning. Low processing figures for April had weighed on soybeans and soybean meal at times. Export demand in the USA also remains low. The fact that China in particular is clearly holding back is causing uncertainty in some quarters. Planting in the United States is continuing, but precipitation in the Corn Belt, which is forecast for the coming week, could slow the pace.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

Rapeseed moved almost sideways over the week. Here, the focus is increasingly shifting to the new harvest and, in view of the lower harvest expectations in Europe and the increased import demand that is expected, there are signs that prices will remain high. The soybean market is primarily determined by the weather.

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29.
09.24
08:44

Oilseeds: EU-KOM cuts rapeseed harvest 2024/25 below multi-year average. In its market report at the end of Sep. 2024, the EU Commission assumes a rapeseed harvest of only 17.1 million tons. This compares to 19.7 million tons in the previous year. The decisive factors here are the -7.3 % reduction in acreage and the -6.3 % drop in yields per…

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17.
09.24
10:38

Oilseed market: high soybean supply, rapeseed and sunflower in short supply, palm oil limited. The 2024/25 oilseed market is positioned very differently depending on the raw material. Record harvests are expected for the dominant soybean sector until the first half of 2025. If consumption increases less strongly, stocks will rise and put pressure…

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13.
09.24
11:33

The USDA's Sep. 2024 estimate for oilseed supply in 2024/25 confirmed an above-average global supply situation overall, despite a slight downward revision compared to the previous month. Total production increases by +4.5% to 687 million tons. Consumption is estimated at 667.5 million tons. Inventories increase by +15.3 % compared to the previous…

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