01.
03.24
Rapeseed meal is becoming scarce

Ölsaaten News, 03/01/2024

Bullish
  • lower harvest expectations in Europe
  • lower global rapeseed harvest expectations
  • reduced crop estimates for Brazil
Bearish
  • Ukraine's delivery capability
  • ongoing harvest Brazil
  • upcoming harvest Argentina
  • Expected soybean production in the USA in 2024/25

Compared to the closing price last week on Friday, rapeseed rose this week. Today too, there are positive signs for oilseeds until midday. Closing price yesterday in the front month of May was 412.00 euros/t. The daily high was 415.25 euros/t today. Yesterday, canola in Winnipeg was also able to increase in price and decouple itself from the weak specifications for soybeans. The situation on the local cash markets is calm. Oil mills ask here and there. In addition to some quantities from the producers' stocks, import quantities from Eastern Europe, the Baltics and Ukraine are also available. Ukraine remains the European Union's most important supplier of rapeseed. Overall, however, Europe's rapeseed imports have declined noticeably. Significantly less quantity comes from Australia in particular. The availability of rapeseed meal on the domestic cash markets has recently become scarce again. Some mills report that they will not be able to deliver again until mid-March. Rapeseed meal prices are correspondingly stable in some cases. Soya is trading almost unchanged for the week. Today, pre-market prices are firmer. Weak export figures in the USA are a burden. Last week it was just 159.700 tons of soy were booked for export and the estimates in advance were at the lower end. Harvesting work in Brazil continues at full speed and the country's exports remain at a high level. The consulting firm Abiove from Brazil has reduced its forecast for the current harvest by 2.3 million tons to 153.8 million tons. The soybean harvest has not yet started in Argentina. As the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange announced, expected rainfall will benefit stocks over the weekend. New assessments from the WASDE report will be available next week. The next WASDE report from the US Department of Agriculture is expected on March 8th.

ZMP Live+ Logo

ZMP Live Expert Opinion

Bulls and bears have been alternating as usual recently. There is no clear direction for rapeseed and soy. The uncertainty factors are large, the availability is given.

ZMP Market Report Compact
Latest news from the markets, in compact for you

You see historical data because you're not logged in or not a ZMP Live+ member. Get your information advantage now!

29.
09.24
08:44

Oilseeds: EU-KOM cuts rapeseed harvest 2024/25 below multi-year average. In its market report at the end of Sep. 2024, the EU Commission assumes a rapeseed harvest of only 17.1 million tons. This compares to 19.7 million tons in the previous year. The decisive factors here are the -7.3 % reduction in acreage and the -6.3 % drop in yields per…

read on
17.
09.24
10:38

Oilseed market: high soybean supply, rapeseed and sunflower in short supply, palm oil limited. The 2024/25 oilseed market is positioned very differently depending on the raw material. Record harvests are expected for the dominant soybean sector until the first half of 2025. If consumption increases less strongly, stocks will rise and put pressure…

read on
13.
09.24
11:33

The USDA's Sep. 2024 estimate for oilseed supply in 2024/25 confirmed an above-average global supply situation overall, despite a slight downward revision compared to the previous month. Total production increases by +4.5% to 687 million tons. Consumption is estimated at 667.5 million tons. Inventories increase by +15.3 % compared to the previous…

read on
Rückrufservice
Please describe your request so that we can prepare for the callback.
Yes, I have read the Privacy Policy note and I consent that the data provided by me, including the contact data, for the processing of the inquiry and in case of questions are electronically collected and stored. My data will only be used strictly for my request and will not be passed without my consent. This consent can be revoked any time with effect for the future.'
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.
Help?

Do you have questions about ZMP Live? Our team will be happy to help you. Please feel free to send us a message:

Our privacy policy applies

CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.

Register now

Jetzt registrieren und ZMP Live+ 14 Tage kostenlos testen!
  • Dauerhaft kostenfrei
  • Keine Zahlungsinformationen erforderlich