02.
06.23
Soy complex is growing across the board

Ölsaaten News, 06/02/2023

Bullish
  • Rising oil prices
  • Rising pig population in China
  • Self-sufficiency EU
Bearish
  • Global economic situation
  • Good earnings prospects EU
  • Price pressure on soy from Brazil
Cash markets in view euros/ton
canola May 4th. May 11th. May 18th. 25. May. Jun 1 +/-
Hamburg 434.00 431.00 399.00 392.00 386.00 -6.00
Straubingen 426.00 421.00 389.00 382.00 377.00 -5.00
soybean meal
Hamburg 447.00 445.00 457.00 434.00 426.00 -8.00
Magdeburg 457.00 455.00 467.00 444.00 436.00 -8.00
Mainz 464.00 469.00 460.00 460.00 454.00 -6.00
rapeseed meal
Hamburg 320.00 320.00 300.00 300.00 289.00 -11.00
Hamm 296.00 301.00 300.00 309.00 309.00 0.00
Lower Rhine 297.00 297.00 297.00 306.00 306.00 0.00

The bearish mood on the rapeseed market only lasted for a short time. The contracts were already able to recover in the middle of the week and some contract dates already reached the 400 mark again in yesterday's trading. The experts at the German Raiffeisen Association are expecting a harvest of 4.3 million tons, which is roughly the same as last year. A slightly higher rapeseed harvest is expected for the entire EU. In US soybeans, the bears could not take the lead for long. In addition to the weather market and the generally uncertain economic situation, many factors are currently affecting the market. Yesterday, for example, the rising oil prices provided bullish impulses. In addition, many market participants had said goodbye to trading as part of the price correction and bought into the prices that were rising again. The export data from the USDA are also eagerly awaited today. Although good figures are expected, the favorable offers from Brazil, among others, are causing difficulties in export business. The oil prices for oil from the North Sea (Brent) and for oil from the USA (WTI) rose again slightly yesterday and thus also supported the price development on the soybean market.In particular, the discussion about the current financial situation in the USA seems to have calmed down and is allowing business to pick up again.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

On the markets for oilseeds, the focus is particularly on the weather, as it is on the grain markets. Even if it currently looks like a good harvest both in the EU and in Brazil, this can change quickly with unfavorable weather conditions. The end of the debt discussion in the USA is in sight and is thus ensuring more trading on the stock exchange. Here, too, it is difficult to find a clear direction. It remains exciting.

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29.
09.24
08:44

Oilseeds: EU-KOM cuts rapeseed harvest 2024/25 below multi-year average. In its market report at the end of Sep. 2024, the EU Commission assumes a rapeseed harvest of only 17.1 million tons. This compares to 19.7 million tons in the previous year. The decisive factors here are the -7.3 % reduction in acreage and the -6.3 % drop in yields per…

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17.
09.24
10:38

Oilseed market: high soybean supply, rapeseed and sunflower in short supply, palm oil limited. The 2024/25 oilseed market is positioned very differently depending on the raw material. Record harvests are expected for the dominant soybean sector until the first half of 2025. If consumption increases less strongly, stocks will rise and put pressure…

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13.
09.24
11:33

The USDA's Sep. 2024 estimate for oilseed supply in 2024/25 confirmed an above-average global supply situation overall, despite a slight downward revision compared to the previous month. Total production increases by +4.5% to 687 million tons. Consumption is estimated at 667.5 million tons. Inventories increase by +15.3 % compared to the previous…

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