04.
08.23
US soy exports support gains

Ölsaaten News, 08/04/2023

Bullish
  • Uncertain export deals Ukraine
  • EU corrects harvest forecast for rapeseed
Bearish
  • EU exports down
  • Improved weather forecast in the USA
  • Record harvest in Brazil
Cash markets in view euros/ton
bread wheat Jun 29 Jul 13 Jul 20 Jul 27 Aug 3 +/-
Hamburg 246.00 nn 250.00 266.00 249.00 -17.00
Lower Rhine 248.00 248.00 259.00 248.00 248.00 0.00
Upper Rhine 247.00 246.00 256.00 246.00 245.00 -1.00
East Germany 230.00 229.00 234.00 229.00 233.00 4.00
feed wheat
Hamburg 244.00 243.00 248.00 243.00 247.00 4.00
Oldenburg 241.00 240.00 254.00 240.00 243.00 3.00
feed barley
Hamburg 208.00 211.00 220.00 211.00 204.00 -7.00
East Germany 198.00 201.00 210.00 201.00 180.00 -21.00
grain corn
South Oldenburg 244.00 243.00 243.00 243.00 245.00 2.00
Cash markets in view euros/ton
canola 29June Jul 13 Jul 20 Jul 27 Aug 3 +/-
Hamburg 431.00 462.00 497.00 462.00 429.00 -33.00
Straubingen 426.00 448.00 492.00 454.00 438.00 -16.00
soybean meal
Hamburg 449.00 452.00 481.00 499.00 482.00 -17.00
Magdeburg 459.00 462.00 491.00 509.00 492.00 -17.00
Mainz 461.00 467.00 511.00 511.00 503.00 -8.00
rapeseed meal
Hamburg n.n. 304.00 316.00 302.00 302.00 0.00
Hamm 327.00 330.00 317.00 310.00 299.00 -11.00
Lower Rhine 323.00 340.00 320.00 229.00 289.00 60.00

The Euronext Raps ended another day of gains yesterday. For the front month of November, it went from EUR 15.25 per ton to EUR 459.75 per ton. The Union for Promotion has published new figures on German rapeseed meal exports. According to the analysts, these amount to around 1.5 million tons for FY 22/23. The result is thus below the previous year's level (-4%) and marks the lowest value for more than four years. The target countries of the export business were mainly within the EU and accounted for 13 million tons. The Netherlands, in particular, imported oilseed from Germany, followed by Denmark. The French and Spaniards booked significantly fewer, which was mainly due to the greater self-sufficiency of the countries. In Winnipeg, canola contracts continued to fall this trading week. Shortly before the weekend, however, they were able to turn the tide and took small profits yesterday. Above all, investors used the price correction of the last few days to position themselves on the market again. The soybean complex got back on track after the brief setback yesterday and gained modestly over the trading session.The September date gained $5.50 US cents/bushel and thus costs the equivalent of 463.57 euros per ton. The development is supported in particular by the solid export business. According to the USDA, these totaled 2.7 million tons in the week ended July 27, in line with market participants' estimates. The USDA also confirmed a new deal for 132,000 tons. The gains were slowed down by the further easing of the weather situation. For the coming days, the meteorologists expect less heat and precipitation. This increases the hope that plants will develop well during this important growing season.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

The past trading week was volatile. Above all, the weather is currently determining the market for soybeans and even if the prospects are currently better again and the prices are therefore also under pressure, this can change again within a few days.

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29.
09.24
08:44

Oilseeds: EU-KOM cuts rapeseed harvest 2024/25 below multi-year average. In its market report at the end of Sep. 2024, the EU Commission assumes a rapeseed harvest of only 17.1 million tons. This compares to 19.7 million tons in the previous year. The decisive factors here are the -7.3 % reduction in acreage and the -6.3 % drop in yields per…

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17.
09.24
10:38

Oilseed market: high soybean supply, rapeseed and sunflower in short supply, palm oil limited. The 2024/25 oilseed market is positioned very differently depending on the raw material. Record harvests are expected for the dominant soybean sector until the first half of 2025. If consumption increases less strongly, stocks will rise and put pressure…

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13.
09.24
11:33

The USDA's Sep. 2024 estimate for oilseed supply in 2024/25 confirmed an above-average global supply situation overall, despite a slight downward revision compared to the previous month. Total production increases by +4.5% to 687 million tons. Consumption is estimated at 667.5 million tons. Inventories increase by +15.3 % compared to the previous…

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