19.
02.26
Potato market analysis & forecast

Kartoffeln News, 19/Feb/2026

Bullish
  • Stabilization of individual price ranges at a low level (sideways instead of falling further).
  • Selective demand from communal catering can provide some short-term relief.
Bearish
  • Persistent oversupply / high inventories, demand seasonally quiet.
  • Quality selection increases marketing pressure (sorting increases).
  • Very weak benchmark price level (e.g. € 3.10/100 kg on 18.02.).
  1. Price development

Table potatoes DE (example region SH, bagged - wholesale delivery / producer loose):

Segment / Listing (DE) | CW8 Trend
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Producer price loose free on ramp (waxy) 10.00-14.00 €/dt
Producer price loose free on ramp (parboiled) 10.00-13.00 €/dt
GH delivery price bagged (waxy) 34.00-39.00 €/dt
GH delivery price bagged (pre-solid cooking) 34.00-38.00 €/dt

Processing/index signal EU:
A widely used reference price is the European Processing Potato Index (EPPI/EPPI methodology), which bundles quotations from DE/FR/BE/NL into a market price for industrial potatoes.

Forward/benchmark signal (EU, short-term):
The freely observable benchmark was quoted at around € 3.10/100 kg on 18.02.2026 (sharp monthly and annual decline).


2. supply situation

  • Oversupply remains core factor: warehouses "even fuller than last year", supply "far too large" for seasonally quiet demand

  • Structural tailwind from record harvest: exceptionally high availability in 2025/26 and limited sales opportunities.

  • Quality as a bottleneck: Only "really flawless lots" find buyers; as storage time progresses, the risk of sorting increases.


3. wholesale

The wholesale trade reports an unchanged market situation: quiet sales, high stock levels, strong selectivity of goods. Price demands for stock mark-ups are difficult to enforce due to oversupply.


4th Industry

Prices in the processing segment remain under pressure, as the abundant availability of raw materials is meeting with restrained demand. In addition, the high correlation of the EU-4 quotations in the EPPI has a dampening effect: price impulses from individual countries are quickly transferred to the overall index.


5. exports

Trade remains functional in the EU single market, but the low price level and abundant EU availability limit the scope for significant export-driven price support. (Note: The report focuses on DE/EU; US signals are only added where directly relevant).


6 Demand

Demand remains seasonally calm; no additional impetus is expected in the short term. Individual customer segments (e.g. commercial kitchens/canteens) may provide selective support, but will not be enough to clear the market.

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ZMP Live Expert Opinion

The potato market in Germany and Europe remains clearly supply-driven at the beginning of February 2026. Record harvests and expanded cultivation areas in 2025 led to structural oversupply and sustained price pressure, after significant price declines were already observed in the course of 2025.
Current industry reports continue to confirm a Germany-wide price slump compared to the previous year as a result of high harvest volumes.
A sustainable price recovery is unlikely without a visible reduction in surplus stocks or significant demand stimulus.

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